Investments Trade Log

[workathome]

I'm very tempted to buy a $SPX or $RUT put option. Maybe if it starts to break down below 180 again...

[workathome]

I purchased a single 1850 $SPX put option with Jan 2015 expiration today. Already sitting on a $300 profit.

[jennypenny]

I wanted to trim some positions today, but something came up and I didn't get to it. I'm sure I'll get hammered now tomorrow.

[George the original one]

WPC, O, & WPZ are topping my lists these days.

For some reason, TGH has entered my radar. I need to investigate more and find out if I'm interested.

Of the majors, good ol' T is back on the list, at least as long as inflation stays tame. I do have my doubts of buying right now as their dividend growth rate continues to slow and we're expecting inflation to rise this summer due to the unusual weather.

MSFT, GE, MCD, & MAT are reasonably priced.

[workathome]

I like MCD, it looks reasonably priced. It held its value really well through the last crash, but it's been pretty flat lately. I guess people are expecting much slower growth going forward?

Seems like a good long-term defensive play.

[Chris]

I like MCD, it looks reasonably priced. It held its value really well through the last crash, but it's been pretty flat lately. I guess people are expecting much slower growth going forward?

With their expanded menu, I think there's some concern that DNKN will be eating MCD's lunch (so to speak).

Also, input costs due to the drought in the West could hurt MCD this year. But I agree, it's solid long term.

[jennypenny]

Bought (a lot) more CLF. Fingers crossed. (haha, how's that for an investing strategy?) I bought QIWI last monday and sold tuesday for a quick $1500. That should cover my losses on CLF if I'm wrong.

Bought a little TCAP and F. Might put in an order for more SDRL this morning.

Taking the rest of the week off from trading. The weather is finally nice so I'm going to work outside. I don't think the market is going to move much anyway.

[workathome]

Anyone have an opinion on POT? I thought it might be a good Medical Marijuana play.

(Kidding, but it does look to be in "value" territory and is hated right now with an all-time-high dividend yield)

[jennypenny]

@Toska--re: AGNC (Kennedy's articles are very good IMO) http://seekingalpha.com/article/2083543 ... sis-part-3 You might want to wait for a good dip to jump in if you haven't purchased already. There should be a dip at the end of the month when they declare the div (if it's less than expected), or after the ex-div next month (if it's good and you get more traders capturing the div). You also tend to see good dips on on the days mortgage apps come in higher than expected. HTH

[7Wannabe5]

Bought TKC, RGR, MAT and GEOS.

[tylerrr]

bought HEMP and FITX
bought AT

[JohnnyH]

Looking at the marijuana stocks is making me feel pretty stupid for not throwing some money at them before all the CO press coverage started.

[tylerrr]

Looking at the marijuana stocks is making me feel pretty stupid for not throwing some money at them before all the CO press coverage started.

i think you could still make a fortune in a few if you're willing to hold for violent swings....As more and more states legalize, some of these marijuana penny stocks will go up over 5000% percent. I might buy equally a basket of my favorite 5 companies. I will bet that at least one will take off like some already have.

[jennypenny]

If we get a big correction in the stock market, what do you think will happen to bond funds? (not just TLT, but corp and muni bond funds)

[workathome]

In 2008, it looks like BND had a rapid 10% crash, but recovered very quickly. Why the quick crash and recover? Fleeing to cash and then interest rates dropping maybe?

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=BND+ ... ff;source=;

[tylerrr]

If we get a big correction in the stock market, what do you think will happen to bond funds? (not just TLT, but corp and muni bond funds)

I don't think bonds will do great in that scenario. I would buy metals like gold/silver to inversely move with a big stock correction. That is my current move.

[Chad]

If we get a big correction in the stock market, what do you think will happen to bond funds? (not just TLT, but corp and muni bond funds)

As Tylerrr points out you will probably get a bigger move in gold, but bond funds would probably go up. Money would flee somewhere out of stocks other than cash. Gold and bonds are the standard refuge in a crash.

I don't think we are quite ready for the big pull back, yet. I like this graph outlining the different psychological states from a bottom to a top and back to a bottom:

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2 ... oltz-chart

I agree with his conclusion. We are somewhere around "enthusiasm" with a lean towards "Public." There is a lot of noise with "all time highs" being hit every week or so, but we really haven't seen a big run up recently (less than 3%in the S&P over the last 3 months), which means these highs aren't at nose bleed levels.

[tylerrr]

If we get a big correction in the stock market, what do you think will happen to bond funds? (not just TLT, but corp and muni bond funds)

As Tylerrr points out you will probably get a bigger move in gold, but bond funds would probably go up. Money would flee somewhere out of stocks other than cash. Gold and bonds are the standard refuge in a crash.

I don't think we are quite ready for the big pull back, yet. I like this graph outlining the different psychological states from a bottom to a top and back to a bottom:

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2 ... oltz-chart

I agree with his conclusion. We are somewhere around "enthusiasm" with a lean towards "Public." There is a lot of noise with "all time highs" being hit every week or so, but we really haven't seen a big run up recently (less than 3%in the S&P over the last 3 months), which means these highs aren't at nose bleed levels.

that is a great chart and really shows how I like to personally trade regarding the overall present psychology of markets. I always feel markets follow macro moods. Saying that, my guess is that we are at "greed" or "delusion" on the chart because equity inflows are at record highs from every day people, which historically says the party is almost over....

In addition, housing is incredibly expensive in many of our major cities, which says there is probably another housing bubble in many areas. My buddy in LA makes about 150k per year and he said he can't believe he cannot find a decent condo to purchase in the LA area because they are just too damn expensive. He grew up in LA too.....

My gold stocks have been hammered this week. I've lost a lot of gains, but i'm holding on because I think gold stocks will head higher to wrap up 2014 eventually in unison with an equity downward correction over the rest of 2014.

Of course, we can't time it perfectly, but if i had to guess, I would guess gold/metal stocks will do better than DOW and SPY over the whole 2014.

[44deagle]

I'm guessing banks and energy will outperform in 2014/2015 period. They should hold up better in a tightening environment.

[archi]

Bought LNCO