Stock Market Blood Bath
Stock Market Blood Bath
I'm just curious what percentage of their stash people have (temporarily) lost in the recent stock market chaos?
I think of my invested stash as opposed to bricks and mortar,
it is probably down about 12.5% compared with the peak a short month ago...
I think of my invested stash as opposed to bricks and mortar,
it is probably down about 12.5% compared with the peak a short month ago...
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Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
ex-House, I'm down 11.6% from the peak with the S&P500 down 24.2% currently. My equity alpha is about +6% at this point. The rest of the relative difference (so another 6-7%) is asset allocation. I was expecting equity-alpha to be higher, but indexers are dumping everything indiscriminately. I did try to reduce my portfolio's correlation with institutional investors finishing up in fall 2018, but apparently not enough.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
As of last night I was down 6.5%. Haven't checked today.
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Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
As of market close yesterday, I'm somewhere around +8% YTD in my taxable account, which is ~33% of NW. Everything else is in cash equivalents, so the swing on my NW is negligible.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
ex-house I am down 19.5% from the peak.
The vast majority of the overperformance is due to asset allocation, because in terms of equity the big win (going big into BAT throughout last year, it took almost all of my net inflows into equities) was compensated by the fact that I am overweight Oil/Gas (Royal Dutch Shell).
The vast majority of the overperformance is due to asset allocation, because in terms of equity the big win (going big into BAT throughout last year, it took almost all of my net inflows into equities) was compensated by the fact that I am overweight Oil/Gas (Royal Dutch Shell).
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
ex-house I was down 8,2% yesterday.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
7%, all due to my stupidity. Tryin to HODL here and keep reminding myself that I might need to wait A LONG TIME for a turnaround.
@jacob, out of curiosity, how does one reduce the correlation of one's portfolio to that of institutional investors? What strategy did you assume on their behalf and how did you position?
@jacob, out of curiosity, how does one reduce the correlation of one's portfolio to that of institutional investors? What strategy did you assume on their behalf and how did you position?
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Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
I'm down about 0% because I'm 80% cash and 20% gold since maybe 1.5 months. I was 45% stocks 1 january and 80% in december still. I got lucky, for now.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
Before today's action, it looks like I'm down roughly 10% from Jan 31st, down 8% YTD, and up 1% from this time last year. In other news, this thread makes me want to write an article about how anchoring affects how we think about investing.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
I was also thinking about this. Is it better to be down 0% from a 0% gain over three years, or being down 30% from a 200% gain?
Of course it depends a lot on personal situations: for example, when one already has more than enough, it's much more logical to play not to lose, as opposed to trying to maximize gains
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
I'm down 24.4%.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
Blind luck: I cashed out about a year ago, which looked like a very bad idea until Monday. I'm holding Vanguard MM (because I was holding Vanguard index funds and I'm lazy). I haven't investigated forgone dividends vs MM interest over the past year.
I'm holding cash rn, waiting for things to fall more before buying back in. If prices go low enough I'm going to move towards GB as I'm a novice and I'm interested in preserving what I've got without totally forgoing growth opportunities as I learn more (I'm a little shy of 50% of my barebones retirement number at 3% WR. Anyone who reads my journal knows that I plan on working PT indefinitely).
I'm holding cash rn, waiting for things to fall more before buying back in. If prices go low enough I'm going to move towards GB as I'm a novice and I'm interested in preserving what I've got without totally forgoing growth opportunities as I learn more (I'm a little shy of 50% of my barebones retirement number at 3% WR. Anyone who reads my journal knows that I plan on working PT indefinitely).
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Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
You just look up/screen the percentage of institutional ownership in a given stock. Institutional means mutual and pension funds. Index funds are a type of mutual funds. I excluded stocks with over ~75% institutional ownership. Stocks with less institutional ownership will often be stocks that are not part of a major index or stocks that demonstrate a higher level of ownership mentality (where the founders held on).
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
-10% YTD, ex RE and cash, ex whatever happened in the US today.
Hey, thanks for asking, I wouldn't have checked otherwise and given the headlines I thought it would be down a fair bit more:)
Hey, thanks for asking, I wouldn't have checked otherwise and given the headlines I thought it would be down a fair bit more:)
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Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
Before today's bounce I was down 13.1% from peak.
@tyler9000
wrt anchoring. I'm about even with what a total cash position taken in early 2019 would have been today.
@tyler9000
wrt anchoring. I'm about even with what a total cash position taken in early 2019 would have been today.
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Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
I haven't calculated it but ignoring new contributions I was probably down ~15%-18% at yesterdays close from the peak, so maybe 11%-14% after today. Assuming no huge move in bonds, I can pretty much multiply what the SP500 does by 0.5 as a proxy, which is all I did in my head. I've had a little more drag from some extra small cap, ex-us, and emerging mkt exposure so that proxy might be optimistic by a percent or two.
I've got a personality quirk that when markets are going up I check my balances a lot, but when they are going down I only look sparingly.
I've got a personality quirk that when markets are going up I check my balances a lot, but when they are going down I only look sparingly.
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Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
I'm down 10.1% from peak, ex-house. Trying not to pay too much attention.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
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Last edited by HalfCent on Wed Apr 22, 2020 12:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
My portfolio is 20.18% below my purchasing price. 3 months of expenses/purchasing power wiped out. Although portfolio is 1/5th of savings.
Re: Stock Market Blood Bath
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Last edited by HalfCent on Wed Apr 22, 2020 12:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.