S&P500: 3,691.96 - com'on still 200 points to go
TSLA: $3,208.80 - crazy stuff... $500 looked like a moonshot at the time of my prediction
magic! indeed.2Birds1Stone wrote: ↑Tue Dec 08, 2020 2:56 pmIn hindsight, it appears I may have used a crystal ball.
https://www.wired.com/story/spacex-laun ... rs-rocket/
Rocky spring for obvious reasons and now the market is 20% up. +0/1 pointsStock market begins a moderate correction during a rocky summer and early fall, S&P down around 15-25% by end of year.
AWS HealthLake announced last week, meanwhile building up Pillpack investment over much of the year. Not much market movement on insurers yet. +0.5/1 pointsAmazon announces it is getting into the EMR business. Health insurers and pharma drop on the news. AMZN ends the year flat or slightly up.
Georgia TBD, but I think I got this one spot on. +1/1 pointsRepublicans maintain control of Senate, Democrats of House. Trump loses re-election. One or more traditionally red sun belt states (e.g. Utah, Texas, Georgia) votes for the Democratic presidential candidate.
None of these, but I’m willing to bet we see some of these in 2021-2022. +0/4 pointsIran conducts attacks against Trump properties after he leaves office (more a five year prediction than one year).
African swine fever devastates European pork.
A sizeable protest movement erupts in mainland China.
PG&E has another round of widespread blackouts during the dry season in California. Utility is taken over by its hedge fund investors.
+1/1 pointsNet migration to the state continues to be negative and drop further, cutting population growth in half.
Commodities fell slightly. Home prices have risen at the fastest pace since 2014. Consumer price inflation 1.2% year over year.Dream of Freedom wrote: ↑Wed Jan 08, 2020 1:31 pm
I expect some headline inflation in the form of higher commodity and real estate prices, but consumer price inflation to remain subdued in America.
Nope.Dream of Freedom wrote: ↑Wed Jan 08, 2020 1:31 pmIn Europe consumer price inflation will outpace that of the US
Yep.Dream of Freedom wrote: ↑Wed Jan 08, 2020 1:31 pmIndustrial real estate will likely outperform commercial
No. Coronavirus happened.Dream of Freedom wrote: ↑Wed Jan 08, 2020 1:31 pmI expect Chinese growth-rates to revert closer to the long term average.