COVID-19
Re: COVID-19
Boris delayed UK with taking brake measures and caused the chaos in UK, just like Trump in USA
Re: COVID-19
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Re: COVID-19
64 new cases. Added Curry County. I have no idea how Coos County is escaping. Hospitalizations leaped.George the original one wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:57 pmOregon Health Authority as of 8:00a Sun, Apr 5
- 1068 Positives
- 19556 Negatives
- 27 Deaths
Cases by County
- 19 Benton (Corvallis) - Note two are actually in Washington state, though they're residents of Benton County.
- 84 Clackamas (Oregon City)
- 4 Clatsop (Astoria)
- 6 Columbia (St. Helens)
- 1 Crook (Prineville)
- 39 Deschutes (Bend)
- 11 Douglas (Roseburg)
- 1 Grant (Canyon City)
- 2 Hood River (Hood River)
- 33 Jackson (Medford)
- 13 Josephine (Grants Pass)
- 15 Klamath (Klamath Falls)
- 27 Lane (Eugene)
- 4 Lincoln (Newport)
- 43 Linn (Albany)
- 2 Malheur (Vale)
- 198 Marion (Salem)
- 2 Morrow (Heppner)
- 233 Multnomah (Portland)
- 24 Polk (Dallas)
- 1 Sherman (Moro)
- 3 Tillamook (Tillamook)
- 7 Umatilla (Pendleton)
- 3 Union (La Grande)
- 1 Wallowa (Enterprise)
- 7 Wasco (The Dalles)
- 259 Washington (Hillsboro)
- 26 Yamhill (McMinnville)
Cases by Age Group
- 23 19 or younger
- 108 20-29
- 159 30-39
- 197 40-49
- 198 50-59
- 197 60- 69
- 110 70-79
- 74 80 and over
- 2 Not available
Hospitalized by Age Group
- 2 19 or younger
- 11 20-29
- 12 30-39
- 39 40-49
- 42 50-59
- 74 60- 69
- 44 70-79
- 34 80 and over
- 0 Not available
Hospitalized
- 258 Yes
- 670 No
- 140 Not provided
Sex
- 567 Female
- 494 Male
- 7 Not available
Hospital Capacity
- pending Available adult ICU beds
- pending Available adult non-ICU beds
- pending Available pediatric NICU/PICU beds
- pending Available pediatric beds
- pending Available ventilators
- pending COVID-19 admissions
- pending COVID-19 patients on ventilators
Oregon Health Authority as of 8:00a Mon, Apr 6
- 1132 Positives
- 20669 Negatives
- 29 Deaths
Cases by County
- 21 Benton (Corvallis) - Note two are actually in Washington state, though they're residents of Benton County.
- 90 Clackamas (Oregon City)
- 4 Clatsop (Astoria)
- 8 Columbia (St. Helens)
- 1 Crook (Prineville)
- 2 Curry (Gold Beach)
- 40 Deschutes (Bend)
- 12 Douglas (Roseburg)
- 1 Grant (Canyon City)
- 2 Hood River (Hood River)
- 39 Jackson (Medford)
- 16 Josephine (Grants Pass)
- 18 Klamath (Klamath Falls)
- 29 Lane (Eugene)
- 4 Lincoln (Newport)
- 44 Linn (Albany)
- 2 Malheur (Vale)
- 209 Marion (Salem)
- 2 Morrow (Heppner)
- 243 Multnomah (Portland)
- 26 Polk (Dallas)
- 1 Sherman (Moro)
- 3 Tillamook (Tillamook)
- 8 Umatilla (Pendleton)
- 3 Union (La Grande)
- 1 Wallowa (Enterprise)
- 7 Wasco (The Dalles)
- 271 Washington (Hillsboro)
- 25 Yamhill (McMinnville)
Cases by Age Group
- 23 19 or younger
- 115 20-29
- 170 30-39
- 211 40-49
- 209 50-59
- 206 60- 69
- 121 70-79
- 76 80 and over
- 1 Not available
Hospitalized by Age Group
- 2 19 or younger
- 26 20-29
- 41 30-39
- 70 40-49
- 68 50-59
- 100 60- 69
- 59 70-79
- 38 80 and over
- 0 Not available
Hospitalized
- 404 Yes
- 623 No
- 104 Not provided
Sex
- 605 Female
- 518 Male
- 9 Not available
Hospital Capacity
- 297 Available adult ICU beds
- 2241 Available adult non-ICU beds
- 113 Available pediatric NICU/PICU beds
- 187 Available pediatric beds
- 733 Available ventilators
- 400 COVID-19 admissions
- 82 COVID-19 patients on ventilators
Re: COVID-19
Deep. Healers are rare.We've spent too much time trying to standardize medicine and create workflows instead of focusing on the art of medicine.
Re: COVID-19
@Augustus Interesting. Obviously this would be a blood test, ideally a venous test since a finger prick may not be as accurate.
The IgM would indicate your recent exposure but you'd need a range which isn't easy to come by - maybe your buddy can help you there. IgG would indicate prior exposure.
You could have had the infection but your IgG may have cleared already - as in, you may not longer be immune to it.
This is all assuming that the test is totally accurate, which most IgG/IgM's for most infections aren't.
The IgM would indicate your recent exposure but you'd need a range which isn't easy to come by - maybe your buddy can help you there. IgG would indicate prior exposure.
You could have had the infection but your IgG may have cleared already - as in, you may not longer be immune to it.
This is all assuming that the test is totally accurate, which most IgG/IgM's for most infections aren't.
Re: COVID-19
The test itself is unlikely to be contaminated.
We have plenty of reports of patients who have no symptoms but test positive for COVID or their chest CT, which was done for other reasons, shows obvious signs of the infection.
As for the result interpretation, I suspect there is a place on their site or in the package to interpret it.
But if your IgM is positive then it means likely recent exposure. If the IgG is positive then it means that you have potentially developed immunity to the virus.
We have plenty of reports of patients who have no symptoms but test positive for COVID or their chest CT, which was done for other reasons, shows obvious signs of the infection.
As for the result interpretation, I suspect there is a place on their site or in the package to interpret it.
But if your IgM is positive then it means likely recent exposure. If the IgG is positive then it means that you have potentially developed immunity to the virus.
Re: COVID-19
Right, that's always the tough thing about information gathering, will the result you obtain be accurate? Next, what will you do with the information. I have lines out the door of patients angry that they cannot get tested. Those who can get tested are upset that it takes 4-5 days to get a result. And yet I don't how the test would change management when the reliability of current tests aren't even that high. Even if they were 100% sensitive/specific, there is no treatment, so the information would only help in very few specific circumstances.
Re: COVID-19
NZ has 54 new coronavirus cases today. Total now 1160. This is the smallest increase since the lockdown.
NZ numbers also include a lot of probable cases so probably overstates the number. Probable are cases which test negative for the virus but people have similar symptoms.
Still only 1 death. So a tiny death rate of 0.09%.
241 people have recovered.
2% community transmission detected. So its mostly coming in from overseas.
Almost 3000 tests yesterday and 42,800 tests so far (0.89% of population)
The govt is FINALLY indicating we might be quarantining everyone coming into NZ. THANK GOD. That was well overdue. Needs to happen NOW.
NZ numbers also include a lot of probable cases so probably overstates the number. Probable are cases which test negative for the virus but people have similar symptoms.
Still only 1 death. So a tiny death rate of 0.09%.
241 people have recovered.
2% community transmission detected. So its mostly coming in from overseas.
Almost 3000 tests yesterday and 42,800 tests so far (0.89% of population)
The govt is FINALLY indicating we might be quarantining everyone coming into NZ. THANK GOD. That was well overdue. Needs to happen NOW.
Last edited by thrifty++ on Tue Apr 07, 2020 2:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: COVID-19
400 new cases.George the original one wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 7:55 pmState of Washington published count as of 11:59p, Sat 4 Apr
- 7984 Positives
- 83391 Negatives
- 338 deaths
Cases by County (County seats)
- 26 Adams (Ritzville)
- 3 Asotin (Asotin)
- 166 Benton (Prosser)
- 28 Chelan (Wenatchee)
- 8 Clallam (Port Angeles)
- 145 Clark (Vancouver)
- 1 Columbia (Dayton)
- 17 Cowlitz (Kelso)
- 10 Douglas (Waterville)
- 1 Ferry (Republic)
- 59 Franklin (Pasco)
- 82 Grant (Ephrata)
- 6 Grays Harbor (Montesano)
- 132 Island (Coupeville)
- 22 Jefferson (Port Townsend)
- 3158 King (Seattle)
- 102 Kitsap (Port Orchard)
- 11 Kittitas (Ellensburg)
- 8 Klickatat (Goldendale)
- 16 Lewis (Chehalis)
- 1 Lincoln (Davenport)
- 14 Mason (Shelton)
- 9 Okanogan (Okanogan)
- 1 Pend Oreille (Newport)
- 536 Pierce (Tacoma)
- 9 San Juan (Friday Harbor)
- 159 Skagit (Mount Vernon)
- 1 Skamania (Stevenson)
- 1486 Snohomish (Everett)
- 199 Spokane (Spokane)
- 5 Stevens (Colville)
- 62 Thurston (Olympia)
- 2 Wahkiakum (Cathlamet)
- 12 Walla Walla (Walla Walla)
- 142 Whatcom (Bellingham)
- 11 Whitman (Colfax)
- 316 Yakima (Yakima)
- 1018 Unassigned (labs are having trouble keeping up and Dept of Health is working to determine the proper county)
Cases by Age
- 2% 0-19
- 27% 20-39
- 34% 40-59
- 26% 60-79
- 10% 80+
- 1% Unknown
Deaths by Age
- 0% 0-19
- 1% 20-39
- 7% 40-59
- 38% 60-79
- 55% 80+
- 0% Unknown
Cases by Sex at Birth
- 50% Female
- 44% Male
- 6% Unknown
State of Washington published count as of 11:59p, Sun 5 Apr
- 8384 Positives
- NA Negatives
- 372 deaths
Cases by County (County seats)
- 26 Adams (Ritzville)
- 4 Asotin (Asotin)
- 172 Benton (Prosser)
- 29 Chelan (Wenatchee)
- 8 Clallam (Port Angeles)
- 154 Clark (Vancouver)
- 1 Columbia (Dayton)
- 17 Cowlitz (Kelso)
- 10 Douglas (Waterville)
- 1 Ferry (Republic)
- 64 Franklin (Pasco)
- 85 Grant (Ephrata)
- 6 Grays Harbor (Montesano)
- 133 Island (Coupeville)
- 25 Jefferson (Port Townsend)
- 3295 King (Seattle)
- 108 Kitsap (Port Orchard)
- 12 Kittitas (Ellensburg)
- 10 Klickatat (Goldendale)
- 16 Lewis (Chehalis)
- 1 Lincoln (Davenport)
- 15 Mason (Shelton)
- 9 Okanogan (Okanogan)
- 1 Pend Oreille (Newport)
- 590 Pierce (Tacoma)
- 9 San Juan (Friday Harbor)
- 162 Skagit (Mount Vernon)
- 2 Skamania (Stevenson)
- 1522 Snohomish (Everett)
- 203 Spokane (Spokane)
- 5 Stevens (Colville)
- 66 Thurston (Olympia)
- 2 Wahkiakum (Cathlamet)
- 14 Walla Walla (Walla Walla)
- 183 Whatcom (Bellingham)
- 12 Whitman (Colfax)
- 346 Yakima (Yakima)
- 1066 Unassigned (labs are having trouble keeping up and Dept of Health is working to determine the proper county)
Cases by Age
- 3% 0-19
- 27% 20-39
- 35% 40-59
- 25% 60-79
- 10% 80+
- 0% Unknown
Deaths by Age
- 0% 0-19
- 1% 20-39
- 7% 40-59
- 39% 60-79
- 54% 80+
- 0% Unknown
Cases by Sex at Birth
- 51% Female
- 44% Male
- 6% Unknown
Re: COVID-19
Thanks @ego
I grabbed that link. I must admit the complexity of biology quickly overwhelms my 'back of the envelope' physicist brain.
If only so many people weren't dying, this would be an interesting problem.
I grabbed that link. I must admit the complexity of biology quickly overwhelms my 'back of the envelope' physicist brain.
If only so many people weren't dying, this would be an interesting problem.
Re: COVID-19
Lockdown has pushed doubling period to 4.1 days. At this rate we'll cross 15k infected when the 21 day lockdown is supposed to be lifted on 14th. Toaster sized ventilators under production. Randomized testing of 100000 people to be done in the capital's hotspots.
Re: COVID-19
I am concerned about the fact that the virus jumped to the big cats at the Bronx zoo.
Re: COVID-19
@7w5 Are you in your cabin now or did you stay urban ?
Re: COVID-19
Unfortunately, still urban. We decided the cabin was still too rough to allow us to stay isolated. So, I am right in the thick of a hot spot, but personally very well isolated since 3/12. I will likely move to cabin during “lull.”
Re: COVID-19
Re baby names, they'll likely morph into the closest approximation that makes sense in Sanskrit:
Covid -> kovida , adjective meaning proficient/skilled (in)/versed (in)/clever/learned (in)/experienced (in)/skillful
Corona -> karuṇā, feminine gender meaning mercy/empathy/pity/compassion
Hanta -> hanta, indeclinable particle expressing exclamation/inception meaning yes/very well then/indeed/now/very well! now/so be it.
Covid -> kovida , adjective meaning proficient/skilled (in)/versed (in)/clever/learned (in)/experienced (in)/skillful
Corona -> karuṇā, feminine gender meaning mercy/empathy/pity/compassion
Hanta -> hanta, indeclinable particle expressing exclamation/inception meaning yes/very well then/indeed/now/very well! now/so be it.
Re: COVID-19
Just FYI -- the UK found that the antibody tests they bought from China are mostly worthless, resulting in both false positives and false negatives. So be careful reading too much into your results either way. https://www.newsweek.com/uk-says-millio ... ts-1496506
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Re: COVID-19
The most recent Embedded podcast has some content about covid testing scams: https://www.npr.org/2020/04/04/82736493 ... ough-tests
Re: COVID-19
Data from China where men were much more likely to die holds for the UK - almost twice as many deaths in each age bracket (other than 85+ where there are substantially more women overall as men die earlier):
Prof Philip Goulder, an expert in immunology at University of Oxford, said: "It is becoming increasingly recognised that there are substantial differences in the immune system between males and females and that these have significant impact on outcome from a wide range of infectious diseases.
"The immune response throughout life to vaccines and infections is typically more aggressive and more effective in females compared to males."
This could be down to women carrying two copies of the X chromosome, compared to the single X and a Y that men have.
A number of critical immune genes are located on the X chromosome.
Re: COVID-19
South Korea has released the medical history for all Covid-19 patients based on their insurance claims for the past five years.
https://hira-covid19.net/list_community
https://hira-covid19.net/list_community
Last edited by Ego on Tue Apr 07, 2020 1:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: COVID-19
Apologies as I'm very late to this thread; but is the thinking that this coronavirus was first identified in China in December still widely accepted by the epidemiologists, et al.?