COVID-19

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George the original one
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Re: COVID-19

Post by George the original one »

George the original one wrote:
Tue Mar 17, 2020 6:37 pm
Oregon Health Authority as of 9a Tue, Mar 17
- 65 Positives
- 968 Negatives
- 1 Death
- 215 Pending

Cases by County
- 2 Benton (Corvallis) - Note these are actually in Washington state, though they're residents of Benton County.
- 6 Clackamas (Oregon City)
- 6 Deschutes (Bend)
- 1 Douglas (Roseburg)
- 2 Jackson (Medford)
- 1 Klamath (Klamath Falls)
- 15 Linn (Albany)
- 4 Marion (Salem)
- 3 Multnomah (Portland)
- 1 Polk (Dallas)
- 2 Umatilla (Pendleton)
- 21 Washington (Hillsboro)
- 1 Yamhill (McMinnville)

Cases by Age Group
- 3 17 or younger
- 4 18-24
- 1 25-34
- 15 35-54
- 42 55+
Commercial testing labs still not online, though Kaiser-Permanente expects to be going this week and OHSU next week. Health worker protective gear in short supply.

Oregon Health Authority as of 8a Wed, Mar 18
- 75 Positives
- 1118 Negatives
- 3 Deaths
- 361 Pending

Cases by County
- 3 Benton (Corvallis) - Note two are actually in Washington state, though they're residents of Benton County.
- 6 Clackamas (Oregon City)
- 6 Deschutes (Bend)
- 1 Douglas (Roseburg)
- 2 Jackson (Medford)
- 1 Klamath (Klamath Falls)
- 2 Lane (Eugene)
- 15 Linn (Albany)
- 8 Marion (Salem)
- 3 Multnomah (Portland)
- 1 Polk (Dallas)
- 2 Umatilla (Pendleton)
- 23 Washington (Hillsboro)
- 2 Yamhill (McMinnville)

Cases by Age Group
- 4 17 or younger
- 4 18-24
- 1 25-34
- 19 35-54
- 47 55+

slowtraveler
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Re: COVID-19

Post by slowtraveler »

Does anywhere actually show how many people have been tested?

George the original one
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Re: COVID-19

Post by George the original one »

slowtraveler wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 3:57 pm
Does anywhere actually show how many people have been tested?
CDC site shows total tests for the USA. You have to add up a column of numbers. We're at about 32,000, doing a little over 3,000 tests per day now. Compare with South Korea which has done 300,000 tests.

jacob
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Re: COVID-19

Post by jacob »

https://www.politico.com//interactives/ ... new-cases/ (US testing tracker)
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps ... 7b48e9ecf6 (Jos Hopkins ... a bit slow these days)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... rue&lsrp=2 (tons of data, sometimes closed to the public or overloaded)
https://covid19info.live/ (for those who like apps)
https://www.bing.com/covid (Microsoft's contribution ... seems to be the fastest and most up to date currently)
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (an increasingly larger text file)
https://www.healthmap.org/covid-19/ (animation of the spread that gets updated every few days)
https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease ... on-reports (the daily sitreps .. lag time on numbers)

steveo73
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Re: COVID-19

Post by steveo73 »

bigato wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 2:49 pm
thrifty: spanish flu came from pigs in the us, h5n6 came from birds in philipines, so it's not like it's a chinese problem. Unless you are advocating the world go vegan, in which case I'd agree :)
I'm not vegan but we'd all be so much better off if we just stopped eating animal products. None of these viruses and we'd all be so much healthier. It's probably not the time to argue this though.

steveo73
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Re: COVID-19

Post by steveo73 »

Peanut wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 2:47 pm
@Thrifty: You’ve been yammering about this for a while. We get it, you blame China and the Chinese. Take a seat next to Trump.
Lots of people are blaming China but you look at the way Trump has handled this situation and it's clear the guy is a fool. I'm also no Trump hater. In Australia we have a term called "yobbo". It means that you are rough around the edges and uncultured. I fall into this category myself a lot of the time. Trump to me is a "yobbo". He just isn't the right person to be in charge in a situation like this. In stating that I think he is changing his tune and is starting to realize it's a problem.

I'm happy to crucify China but the western world has handled this situation atrociously.

classical_Liberal
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Re: COVID-19

Post by classical_Liberal »

Ego wrote:
Tue Mar 17, 2020 6:15 pm
Yes, you may have missed it but I included that same study at the bottom of that post.
Indeed I did, thanks and sorry I missed it.

George the original one
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Re: COVID-19

Post by George the original one »

George the original one wrote:
Tue Mar 17, 2020 6:20 pm
State of Washington published count as of 3:15p Tue, 17 Mar
- 1012 Positives
- 13117 Negatives
- 52 deaths

Cases by County (County seats)
- 4 Clark (Vancouver)
- 1 Columbia (Dayton)
- 7 Grant (Ephrata)
- 1 Grays Harbor (Montesano)
- 14 Island (Coupeville)
- 3 Jefferson (Port Townsend)
- 569 King (Seattle)
- 7 Kitsap (Port Orchard)
- 3 Kittitas (Ellensburg)
- 1 Klickatat (Goldendale)
- 1 Lewis (Chehalis)
- 1 Lincoln (Davenport)
- 45 Pierce (Tacoma)
- 9 Skagit (Mount Vernon)
- 254 Snohomish (Everett)
- 4 Spokane (Spokane)
- 5 Thurston (Olympia)
- 6 Whatcom (Bellingham)
- 5 Yakima (Yakima)
- 70 Unassigned (labs are having trouble keeping up and Dept of Health is working to determine the proper county)

Cases by Age
- 2% 0-19
- 7% 0-29
- 12% 30-39
- 14% 40-49
- 16% 50-59
- 15% 60-69
- 17% 70-79
- 17% 80+

Cases by Sex at Birth
- 51% Female
- 46% Male
- 3% Unknown
175 new cases picking up Chelan, Franklin, & Mason counties. Age distribution continues to slide younger.

State of Washington published count as of 3:25p Wed, 18 Mar
- 1187 Positives
- 15918 Negatives
- 66 deaths

Cases by County (County seats)
- 2 Chelan (Wenatchee)
- 4 Clark (Vancouver)
- 1 Columbia (Dayton)
- 1 Franklin (Pasco)
- 8 Grant (Ephrata)
- 1 Grays Harbor (Montesano)
- 16 Island (Coupeville)
- 4 Jefferson (Port Townsend)
- 562 King (Seattle)
- 9 Kitsap (Port Orchard)
- 4 Kittitas (Ellensburg)
- 1 Klickatat (Goldendale)
- 1 Lewis (Chehalis)
- 1 Lincoln (Davenport)
- 1 Mason (Shelton)
- 56 Pierce (Tacoma)
- 14 Skagit (Mount Vernon)
- 310 Snohomish (Everett)
- 4 Spokane (Spokane)
- 6 Thurston (Olympia)
- 7 Whatcom (Bellingham)
- 7 Yakima (Yakima)
- 167 Unassigned (labs are having trouble keeping up and Dept of Health is working to determine the proper county)

Cases by Age
- 2% 0-19
- 8% 0-29
- 12% 30-39
- 14% 40-49
- 17% 50-59
- 15% 60-69
- 16% 70-79
- 16% 80+

Cases by Sex at Birth
- 51% Female
- 46% Male
- 3% Unknown

George the original one
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Re: COVID-19

Post by George the original one »

Preliminary study from CDC (released today) on hospitalization rates (by age, even!), ICU admission, and fatalities: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/ ... mm6912e2_w

China reported 1-in-5 needing hospitalization and CDC comes to the same conclusion (or worse!) with USA cases.

Jin+Guice
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Re: COVID-19

Post by Jin+Guice »

Things are going pretty badly in New Orleans. All of the restaurants are closed (still offering take-out though, so pretty much still fucking shit up) so most of my friends are either out of work or on extremely reduced hours. All of the bars are closed so all musicians are out of work. The New Orleans attitude is *not great* for a crisis of this nature. I had some hope, because this is vaguely reminiscent of a hurricane, that people would respond well, but that has not been the case. My GF had to go to Bourbon St. for an article she was writing, she wore an N95 and biked... "Nice Hazmat suit, lemme see them titties." People were still out partying with restaurants serving booze in to go cups. The streets are emptier than they would normally be (March is guaranteed nice weather here and it's still cold in most states that have winter, so it's the busiest tourist season except for major events), but there are still plenty of people out. I've seen maybe 1 or 2 people wearing a mask or gloves.

I've recovered from my cold (still no idea if it was COVID-19 or not). It was very mild but stuck around for 7 days with the worst day being day 4. Today is the first day that I'm totally better. The protocol is to quarantine for 14 days after I feel better correct?

I really think we are fucked on containment. The people who aren't trying are extremely not trying. I don't think people are going to isolate without some sort of militarized enforcement, which is also scary. How is the forced isolation in SF going? Is anyone on here not totally isolating aside from groceries? I'm considering small gatherings of friends (like 1-on-1) who also have no symptoms after I'm done quarantining. Is this horribly irresponsible?

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Sclass
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Re: COVID-19

Post by Sclass »

People in my suburb of Orange County are moving around. They certainly aren’t partying like what you’re seeing. Mostly scared looking seniors and soccer moms getting groceries and running errands. No mask wearing but people are trying to distance themselves.

My neighbors are saying via social media that the stores are out of the typical items like canned food and pasta. There is plenty of produce though. I plan to go out tomorrow. Wearing a mask cautiously because I’m worried I’ll get mugged for it. There isn’t a mask left on the shelves anywhere in town.

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Ego
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Re: COVID-19

Post by Ego »

A clearing house for those who want to volunteer for Covid projects.

https://helpwithcovid.com/

thrifty++
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Re: COVID-19

Post by thrifty++ »

steveo73 wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 4:43 pm
Lots of people are blaming China but you look at the way Trump has handled this situation and it's clear the guy is a fool. I'm also no Trump hater. In Australia we have a term called "yobbo". It means that you are rough around the edges and uncultured. I fall into this category myself a lot of the time. Trump to me is a "yobbo". He just isn't the right person to be in charge in a situation like this. In stating that I think he is changing his tune and is starting to realize it's a problem.

I'm happy to crucify China but the western world has handled this situation atrociously
Agree that Trump is not the right person to be dealing with all this.

This has fallen out more badly for the west for cultural reasons. The govt was able to get away with a heavy handed authoritarian approach to bring the virus under control (in China). I cant imagine this approach ever having worked in Italy for cultural reasons. Would have been too much backlash. But I think now that the west is starting to understand what is required to bring it under control things will start to fall into line, although a little more messily. Although how things go in the USA is probably a bit of a wild card being the mother ship of libertarianism.

theanimal
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Re: COVID-19

Post by theanimal »

My community has a Facebook page that serves as the neighborhood message board. I made a post yesterday offering to pick up/drop off groceries for any older members of the community who are looking to avoid going on. Nothing yet. If anyone's community has something similar and you're looking to help it'd probably be very much appreciated. Some of the elderly are very scared to go out.

It sucks not being able to do anything to combat the virus other than staying home (without a technical background). If anyone has any suggestions on how to help besides the link above please share.

black_son_of_gray
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Re: COVID-19

Post by black_son_of_gray »

Jin+Guice wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 9:32 pm
I don't think people are going to isolate without some sort of militarized enforcement, which is also scary. How is the forced isolation in SF going? [...] I'm considering small gatherings of friends (like 1-on-1) who also have no symptoms after I'm done quarantining. Is this horribly irresponsible?
Two full days of mandatory "shelter in place" here in Bay Area. Legally speaking, meeting up with friends, even just one, is a misdemeanor punishable by fine or imprisonment- but SFPD and mayor have said they are going to be lax about this. I haven't seen a single cop (just a pair of parked patrol cars once).

This has been what I've seen during the ~2.5 hours of walking around that I've done for exercise during the last two days: 1) There are a ton more people walking around than normal. In the neighborhoods around me, that means a couple people per block on average. People have been good about keeping distance, but yeah... it looks nothing like the footage I've seen from France, Italy, or Spain, where the police will ask for papers and/or the public spaces are empty. The first thing you realize is that sidewalks are not six feet wide! So you get into a lot of awkward games of chicken. I walk next to the parked cars in the street when the road is clear. Oh yeah, and kids. They're mostly with their parents/playing in front yards, but they are all over the place. 2) Considering you are only supposed to make essential car trips, there's actually a lot of traffic. If I didn't know the "shelter in place" was happening, I wouldn't have even registered a difference. 3) The commercial street near me was about 25-50% of normal in terms of pedestrians/parking. 4) Two-car light-rail that I saw today around rush hour had maybe a dozen people on it, maybe three wearing masks. It would normally have maybe 4-5x that. 5) A lot of people are making use of local parks, which is kinda annoying, because I used to have those places mostly to myself. 5) Haven't been to a grocery store, but the local paper/news stations have talked up lots of empty shelves for the last few days. 6) You know who really has it made? Pets. I've never seen so many people walking the dog in the middle of the day. (Happy for them)

Summary: I'm fairly sure this won't be as effective as the European lockdowns - it certainly isn't as strictly enforced. But at the same time, maybe it'll get 80+% of the results? No one seems to be flagrantly violating the order, and because of store/restaurant/venue closures, there really isn't much to do besides hang out at home or take a walk anyway. From what I can tell from Wuhan, South Korea, and starting to show up in Italy, the "topping" process of the curve takes about 5 days (same length of time as exposure>symptoms), so I'm hoping by the weekend, there'll be numbers to show that the infection rate has started leveling off in the Bay Area.

enigmaT120
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Re: COVID-19

Post by enigmaT120 »

I'm jealous of the people who catch it early, recover hopefully without infecting anyone else, and can get on with their lives.

llorona
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Re: COVID-19

Post by llorona »

Jin+Guice wrote:
Wed Mar 18, 2020 9:32 pm
How is the forced isolation in SF going? Is anyone on here not totally isolating aside from groceries? I'm considering small gatherings of friends (like 1-on-1) who also have no symptoms after I'm done quarantining. Is this horribly irresponsible?
Everyone I know is complying with the shelter in place order. Today my husband and I drove to a park to take a walk. Considering that it normally would have been rush hour, there were fewer cars on the road -- I'm guessing maybe a 70% to 90% reduction from usual. There were quite a few people at the park, but again, many less than normal. Some were wearing masks and gloves. Park-goers included two police officers who were talking to each other through their vehicle windows and appeared to be completely unconcerned about monitoring social distancing.

There are still quite a few places where we're allowed to make essential trips (i.e., grocery stores, restaurant take out, banks, hardware stores, gas stations, pharmacies) plus some folks commute to jobs at essential businesses/municipal functions, so it was no surprise to see other human beings.

Passed by two grocery stores on the way home and there were spaces available in the parking lot. No idea if there was still any food inside.
black_son_of_gray wrote:
Thu Mar 19, 2020 12:49 am
Summary: I'm fairly sure this won't be as effective as the European lockdowns - it certainly isn't as strictly enforced. But at the same time, maybe it'll get 80+% of the results? No one seems to be flagrantly violating the order, and because of store/restaurant/venue closures, there really isn't much to do besides hang out at home or take a walk anyway. From what I can tell from Wuhan, South Korea, and starting to show up in Italy, the "topping" process of the curve takes about 5 days (same length of time as exposure>symptoms), so I'm hoping by the weekend, there'll be numbers to show that the infection rate has started leveling off in the Bay Area.
Agree with this because the "borders" of the SF Bay Area area still wide open. Even though we're not supposed to cross county lines or leave the Bay Area, it doesn't look like this is being enforced. Hope that partial containment will reduce cases or at least help delay a spike in community transmission.

BMF1102
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Re: COVID-19

Post by BMF1102 »

Apparently a couple of Nuclear plants in New York, Fitspatrick & Nine Mile have cancelled their outages (shutdowns for major maintenance) due to the health concerns. I assume because an outage brings in a couple thousand extra people from all over the country/world. Here in Michigan at Fermi they have brought in tents and trailers. I'm hearing from coworkers, that if some one comes down with the virus they will all be quarantined on site until the work is complete and they have passed health checks.

jacob
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Re: COVID-19

Post by jacob »

Kinsa has distributed a network of smart thermometers all over the country in order to track the flu. This ostensibly works better than CDC's reporting methods. They've created a website that shows not only what people's temperatures are over the country now (at the county level), but also where they're atypically higher than last years number. The latter could indicate areas of C19.

https://healthweather.us/

jacob
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Re: COVID-19

Post by jacob »

Wuhan reports ZERO new cases for the first time.

Life under lock down in Wuhan: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yyucJekT87E (previously posted)

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