Search found 389 matches

by black_son_of_gray
Tue Jul 07, 2015 8:58 am
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: Fitness Measurement
Replies: 25
Views: 4168

Re: Fitness Measurement

In gradeschool gym class, I remember the teacher really hammering home the point that fitness had 5 different components: flexibility, cardiovascular endurance, power, strength, and (I'm blanking a little bit here) maybe speed/agility/coordination? Personally, I think fitness is more of a diminishin...
by black_son_of_gray
Mon Jul 06, 2015 11:13 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: Exercise/Fitness Log
Replies: 433
Views: 108924

Re: Exercise/Fitness Log

http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/07/01/older-athletes-have-a-strikingly-young-fitness-age/ Older athletes can be much younger, physically, than they are in real life, according to a new study of participants in the coming Senior Olympics. The study found that the athletes’ fitness age is typicall...
by black_son_of_gray
Sat Jul 04, 2015 8:25 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: Is the country headed for disaster??
Replies: 79
Views: 11337

Re: Is the country headed for disaster??

Broadly speaking, there is a certain amount of biodiversity that is crucial for human survival. It might be relatively high. But it might be relatively low. The scary point is this: we have absolutely no idea what that amount is. It's like playing Russian Roulette where we don't know the total numbe...
by black_son_of_gray
Fri Jul 03, 2015 7:38 am
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: Exercise/Fitness Log
Replies: 433
Views: 108924

Re: Exercise/Fitness Log

There is an cultural obsession with youth. But you can't actually get younger, only maintain young characteristics. Maybe it's better to frame it the other way: It's the absence of maintaining decent cardiovascular performance that ages a person above and beyond their chronological age. Otherwise it...
by black_son_of_gray
Mon Jun 29, 2015 10:24 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: The lonely death
Replies: 8
Views: 2205

Re: The lonely death

Dragline wrote:It's the story of the endgame of consumerism and careerism. What does a cog do when the machine stops?
Ikiru: The main character is even named Watanabe!
by black_son_of_gray
Mon Jun 29, 2015 7:43 pm
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: US shale oil peaks June 2015(?) ...
Replies: 44
Views: 9084

Re: US shale oil peaks June 2015(?) ...

@ Jacob. This thread has been a really interesting read. With regard to the last comment, itemizing pro peak vs con peak - I guess a more refined version of my previous question (continuing my unabashed frequentist orientation) would be: How often (ballpark numbers) would you say you personally enco...
by black_son_of_gray
Mon Jun 29, 2015 9:42 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: US shale oil peaks June 2015(?) ...
Replies: 44
Views: 9084

Re: US shale oil peaks June 2015(?) ...

@ Jacob - Thanks for the thoughtful reply. Ahh yes, I forgot about Bayes! It really is telling, that while I have taken college statistics classes and work with statistics (fairly simple stuff) more or less daily, the only exposure I had really had to Bayesian statistics is Nate Silver's book, The S...
by black_son_of_gray
Fri Jun 26, 2015 8:05 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: US shale oil peaks June 2015(?) ...
Replies: 44
Views: 9084

Re: US shale oil peaks June 2015(?) ...

@ Jacob: Very interesting tie into statistics - outside of the lab, I've never heard anyone talk about this kind of stuff. I understand that the synthetic aspect of combining knowledge/understanding from other systems and areas is a tremendous aide in identifying important information. That said, wi...
by black_son_of_gray
Wed Jun 24, 2015 7:09 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: Is the country headed for disaster??
Replies: 79
Views: 11337

Re: Is the country headed for disaster??

I mean, feel free to rage about "entitlements," but the vast majority of people who use the safety net of SNAP and welfare don't actually stay on it for that long. Personally, I'd rather live in a country that takes care of its people than have to step through hordes of beggars when I leave my hous...
by black_son_of_gray
Tue Jun 23, 2015 8:14 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: spoonman's Journal
Replies: 682
Views: 180338

Re: spoonman's Journal

With respect to going carless, courtesy of Walden: One says to me, "I wonder that you do not lay up money; you love to travel; you might take the cars and go to Fitchburg today and see the country." But I am wiser than that. I have learned that the swiftest traveller is he that goes afoot. I say to ...
by black_son_of_gray
Tue Jun 23, 2015 7:48 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: Fundamental Laws of Stupidity
Replies: 56
Views: 21422

Re: Fundamental Laws of Stupidity

Always and inevitably everyone underestimates the number of stupid individuals in circulation. The probability that a certain person (will) be stupid is independent of any other characteristic of that person. A stupid person is a person who causes losses to another person or to a group of persons w...
by black_son_of_gray
Sat Jun 20, 2015 9:07 pm
Forum: ERE Community
Topic: Reep's Bike Adventure of Epicness (BAE) (has ended)
Replies: 91
Views: 23475

Re: Reep's Bike Adventure of Epicness (BAE)

Can't wait for the rest, I'm really enjoying your writing!
by black_son_of_gray
Sat Jun 20, 2015 8:22 pm
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: Laudato Si'-encyclical
Replies: 21
Views: 4881

Re: Laudato Si'-encyclical

Yeah ... the pope prefers a high population at a lower individual impact (prioritize the poor) rather than a restraining population to allow a higher individual impact. That choice is a matter of opinion. The absolute limit as determined by the product of population times impact is not. Cliffs Note...
by black_son_of_gray
Wed Jun 03, 2015 8:32 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: Global warming: Regional climate change impacts
Replies: 257
Views: 53222

Re: Global warming: Regional climate change impacts

Pakistan also has one of the highest population growth rates and could double in size in as little as 30 years(!), dramatically exacerbating water needs.
by black_son_of_gray
Sun May 31, 2015 3:27 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: Local food and antifragility
Replies: 12
Views: 2298

Re: Local food and antifragility

I've been trying to frame this in my own mind for a few weeks now. I've tried to focus on the ethics (reflecting my own values, not everyone else's*). Here's the logic that I've been using for my own food purchases: Let's first ignore the money side of things and just consider the food for what it i...
by black_son_of_gray
Fri May 29, 2015 8:46 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: What Are Your Pet Peeves?
Replies: 105
Views: 18662

Re: What Are Your Pet Peeves?

Preface: The main doors to the building I work in have a switch on the wall with the International Symbol of Access (AKA the handicap symbol) that automatically opens the doors. There are two sets of doors, with a small vestibule, and each set of doors has a switch. Because of the layout, someone th...
by black_son_of_gray
Wed May 27, 2015 11:31 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: Deliberately coasting to FI?
Replies: 38
Views: 12415

Deliberately coasting to FI?

I've been considering the following scenario for a while now: 1. Amass half of goal assets (~12-16x yearly expenses or 6-8% withdrawal rate) 2. Quit job 3. Pick up a part-time job that involves a skill or activity I want to learn or enjoy in FI 4. Aim to make only enough money to cover living expens...
by black_son_of_gray
Mon May 11, 2015 7:51 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: The cultural shift from sustainability to resilience
Replies: 25
Views: 5705

Re: The cultural shift from sustainability to resilience

A speculation: The cultural shift from sustainability to resilience will be divisive and unequal. That is, the cultural gulf will widen before it ever gets more cohesive. When some fraction of the population 'gets it', and starts focusing on resilience, it will concomitantly allow those with 'fragil...
by black_son_of_gray
Fri May 01, 2015 9:36 pm
Forum: Resources & Recommended Reading
Topic: 15 ways to detach from the system
Replies: 10
Views: 2544

Re: 15 ways to detach from the system

@jennypenny: Generally, people skills. More specifically, you might call it "Emotional Intelligence" (a la Daniel Goleman, http://www.amazon.com/Emotional-Intelligence-Matter-More-Than/dp/055338371X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1430532923&sr=8-1&keywords=Emotional+Intelligence%3A+Why+It+Can+Matter+More+Th...
by black_son_of_gray
Fri May 01, 2015 6:41 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Target FI amount and when one has reached it
Replies: 31
Views: 5534

Re: Target FI amount and when one has reached it

Ultimately, I would say it is a personal decision (knowing when 'is enough', but I'd still go with the ERE plans and resign. The concept of a 'buffer' should already be included in the safe withdrawal rate, so a 'bit short of target' should still be safe. E.g. SWR 3.3% rather than 3.0%. It's a matte...