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by nomadscientist
Fri Apr 30, 2021 3:17 pm
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Examining Inflation
Replies: 182
Views: 58876

Re: Examining Inflation

I'm not a business owner, but I'd guess most business owners do not live near their suppliers. If that's a problem, there are other possibilities, such as WFA jobs and also jobs with local demand in many countries (e.g. English teacher). I would guess an English teacher is less likely to be obsolete...
by nomadscientist
Fri Apr 30, 2021 12:42 pm
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Examining Inflation
Replies: 182
Views: 58876

Re: Examining Inflation

Not sure what you mean by contracts in satellites. There are interesting things happening today in smart contracts and so on, but I'm not talking necessarily talking about the future or about property-owners exclusively. Being mobile has been useful to people for centuries and has been useful to pur...
by nomadscientist
Thu Apr 29, 2021 9:31 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: Which covid vaccine would you pick?
Replies: 30
Views: 10292

Re: Which covid vaccine would you pick?

So far the Russian one looks like the best. You can get in Serbia without having any connection to the country (apparently there are a lot of anti-vaxers in Serbia).
by nomadscientist
Thu Apr 29, 2021 5:02 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Examining Inflation
Replies: 182
Views: 58876

Re: Examining Inflation

1. Depends on personality type but I enjoy switching things around every now and then. I crave new experiences and am easily saturated/bored. Most people seem to be otherwise. But that doesn't matter to me. 2. While there's a great deal of propaganda from universities owned by states that contract l...
by nomadscientist
Wed Apr 28, 2021 7:11 am
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Do you maintain a resume?
Replies: 21
Views: 2695

Re: Do you maintain a resume?

Aptitude tests are at the HR/screening out phase. It's not surprising there's no personal discretion. Manager probably never heard your name, and HR does not care what quality of workers they hire in so far as it isn't reflected in their KPIs. If you got two managers who know you bidding against one...
by nomadscientist
Tue Apr 27, 2021 2:38 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 865
Views: 90800

Re: COVID topic vol 2

Were Americans cutting each other off over WWI?
by nomadscientist
Mon Apr 26, 2021 11:54 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Examining Inflation
Replies: 182
Views: 58876

Re: Examining Inflation

Jacob observed on the WL thread that all the FIRE bloggers (including himself) are still targeting the same nominal level as ten years ago and (apparently) succeeding. Is that improved skill? Deflation for smart people only? Are they kinda the same thing, i.e. smart people tilt to buying deflating i...
by nomadscientist
Mon Apr 26, 2021 11:48 am
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Do you maintain a resume?
Replies: 21
Views: 2695

Re: Do you maintain a resume?

That definitely works (not that I would try the letterhead thing specifically) and I've got no idea why. I have an ex-colleague who almost certainly got a promotion out of a company that was otherwise just about to fire him* by getting an offer from a rival. Like, we don't like this guy but we can't...
by nomadscientist
Sat Apr 24, 2021 8:34 am
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Do you maintain a resume?
Replies: 21
Views: 2695

Re: Do you maintain a resume?

I have a pristine resume, despite not really making any effort to get one (I made no effort to find a job before graduating, but swung a career track job randomly from someone over coffee just after my final exams). But as I get older I think the pristine resume is a negative signal. It shows you ar...
by nomadscientist
Fri Apr 23, 2021 3:14 pm
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Deagel.com Country forescast
Replies: 29
Views: 7214

Re: Deagel.com Country forescast

The main significance of Russia is as mine and farm for China, which makes US blockade impotent. Annoying, yes, but not existential. At some point the US will also lose the ability to blockade China, but not yet. This is a medium term (10-20 year) consideration. Demographic changes come later. The U...
by nomadscientist
Fri Apr 23, 2021 11:54 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Deagel.com Country forescast
Replies: 29
Views: 7214

Re: Deagel.com Country forescast

I'm not suggesting those weapons aren't real or effective (although I don't know), only they're not a necessary assumption to reach the same conclusion. China is rapidly launching warships and is close to local superiority against the USA already in regular types. Local superiority is easier because...
by nomadscientist
Fri Apr 23, 2021 5:47 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Deagel.com Country forescast
Replies: 29
Views: 7214

Re: Deagel.com Country forescast

btw, my main concern about holding Russian equities would be the US government seizing or otherwise rendering worthless that holding.
by nomadscientist
Fri Apr 23, 2021 5:24 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Deagel.com Country forescast
Replies: 29
Views: 7214

Re: Deagel.com Country forescast

There's no need to believe in novel superweapons to predict US defeat here. The PRC will soon have a larger economic capacity as well as the big geography advantage as being on the same side of the ocean as the conflict. It will be able to defeat the US in a direct confrontation with whatever are co...
by nomadscientist
Sat Apr 17, 2021 6:27 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Deagel.com Country forescast
Replies: 29
Views: 7214

Re: Deagel.com Country forescast

My experience in covid time is that you can choose to have the regulations or choose not to have them. Choosing not to have them requires some mild inconvenience doing obvious moves, but otherwise not much more than a tiny bit of chutzpah. I am not talking about breaking laws here. But, most people ...
by nomadscientist
Wed Apr 07, 2021 9:33 am
Forum: Philosophy and Lifestyle Questions
Topic: The ERE Wheaton Scale
Replies: 484
Views: 144033

Re: The ERE Wheaton Scale

FWIW I was nowhere implying that Jacob is off the scale in terms of thought or something like that, only that his intent is obscure. An interesting and smart guy to be sure, but still a guy living an ordinary lower middle class lifestyle in a mid-West USA city (as he has described himself in the pas...
by nomadscientist
Tue Apr 06, 2021 8:56 am
Forum: Philosophy and Lifestyle Questions
Topic: The ERE Wheaton Scale
Replies: 484
Views: 144033

Re: The ERE Wheaton Scale

The early levels are universal because they involve correcting errors induced by the current society e.g. almost no one should be in credit card debt regardless of their values, people have credit card debt because of insufficient knowledge and/or self-control. Up to optimization stage, no real valu...
by nomadscientist
Sun Apr 04, 2021 1:05 pm
Forum: Philosophy and Lifestyle Questions
Topic: The ERE Wheaton Scale
Replies: 484
Views: 144033

Re: The ERE Wheaton Scale

I kinda like the table.

It is pretty accurate to my own development.

Of course, one could have got to the same place from much different starting points and on much different paths. But most people don't.
by nomadscientist
Sat Apr 03, 2021 3:54 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Income Robustness Score Log
Replies: 55
Views: 47725

Re: Income Robustness Score Log

A careerist would be always working toward lowering the risk of being out of a career rather than lowering risk by having noncorrelated income sources. I am now able to obtain a work income something like 10x my minimum spending in a field that has been in demand for decades, which should still be ...
by nomadscientist
Sat Apr 03, 2021 3:40 am
Forum: Philosophy and Lifestyle Questions
Topic: The ERE Wheaton Scale
Replies: 484
Views: 144033

Re: The ERE Wheaton Scale

Back in the early days of the forum, the crowd was more diverse than what's my impression of the current participants. (Hence my occasional grumbling about "FIRE movement messaging" focusing too much on the highly-paid tech bro contingent and scaring everybody else away from the solution-...
by nomadscientist
Tue Mar 30, 2021 1:07 pm
Forum: Philosophy and Lifestyle Questions
Topic: The ERE Wheaton Scale
Replies: 484
Views: 144033

Re: The ERE Wheaton Scale

@7w5 Prostitution is not what I mean by social capital. Prostitution is just a job. @jacob Granted re: Cleetus, but don't you think social capital once again becomes vital at the top? There are some really cool things you can do with $1mm with the right connections (and probably even keep the $1mm, ...