Search found 428 matches

by ZAFCorrection
Thu Nov 26, 2020 4:00 am
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 240
Views: 11934

Re: COVID topic vol 2

Given how far this has spread in the US, and how it will continue to do so over the winter months, I think one of the biggest social issues will be titers vs vaccination. Statistically we are looking at 10-50% of the population (depending on many variables) having exposure by spring. Will vaccines ...
by ZAFCorrection
Tue Nov 24, 2020 12:11 am
Forum: Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Precision filing thin brass tubing
Replies: 10
Views: 473

Re: Precision filing thin brass tubing

Do it materials science specimen style. Let the end of the tube set in some kind of epoxy which you can easily dissolve later. That will provide a support to cut or polish to your heart's content with good control and minimal risk to the tube. http://www.ebsd.com/hints-tips-for-ebsd-data-collection/...
by ZAFCorrection
Fri Nov 20, 2020 10:22 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 240
Views: 11934

Re: COVID topic vol 2

@RJ

As an introverted knowledge worker, covid has been a huge win for me. But I'm not ready to cast "I don't much like talking to people in person" into a virtue or some kind of thoughtful lifestyle design.
by ZAFCorrection
Fri Nov 20, 2020 2:39 am
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 240
Views: 11934

Re: COVID topic vol 2

One aspect of this is the costs are likely less visible to the upper middle class which generally dominates the discussion. If you are an already-isolated knowledge worker, the primary affect of the social interventions on your personal life is that you don't have to put on pants and go into the off...
by ZAFCorrection
Mon Nov 16, 2020 9:25 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 240
Views: 11934

Re: COVID topic vol 2

@riggerjack Ya, it basically is incalculable. But the only scientific disciplines which have been successful do it by quantifying shit. And if you want credit for having a quantified scientific answer to something, you got to quantify everything at least somewhat accurately, or justify leaving stuff...
by ZAFCorrection
Mon Nov 16, 2020 5:53 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 240
Views: 11934

Re: COVID topic vol 2

@Jacob Simplifying everyone's complaints about the response to the pandemic, the attitude seems to be that the benefits don't outweigh the costs. Since the professional model can't even see costs to intervention (only preventing deaths matters, afterall), I don't buy the argument that we should give...
by ZAFCorrection
Mon Nov 16, 2020 2:37 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 240
Views: 11934

Re: COVID topic vol 2

Scientism indeed. 95% of my criticism of the professional response to this pandemic would be addressed by an admission that they explicitly decided to ignore every dimension other than death, and to a lesser extent, disability due to the virus itself. In keeping with that plan, widespread social int...
by ZAFCorrection
Sun Nov 15, 2020 9:57 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID topic vol 2
Replies: 240
Views: 11934

Re: COVID topic vol 2

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101 ... 1.362319v1

Unless I am missing something, they are putting 6 months as the known lower limit for T cell response, not the upper limit.
by ZAFCorrection
Wed Oct 14, 2020 11:37 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Familial assistance
Replies: 35
Views: 2548

Re: Familial assistance

What counts as basic support for survival can also get a bit blurry. My mom apparently needs some kind of inhalent medication ($400 per month without insurance) to counteract the effects of mold or whatever at her current place in iowa. Her and my dad have a mortgaged house in montana from which the...
by ZAFCorrection
Tue Oct 13, 2020 11:27 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Familial assistance
Replies: 35
Views: 2548

Re: Familial assistance

Coincidental to this thread, my mom just got fired for trying to Erin Brokovich her employers, and now my parents' non-bankruptcy-involving plan is the lawsuit over something petty.
by ZAFCorrection
Mon Oct 12, 2020 4:52 pm
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Hristo's FI Journal
Replies: 772
Views: 108162

Re: Hristo's FI Journal

Interesting trip. My thought process on trips with people is don't get involved in open-ended situations. Either the peeps' goals for the trip need to be well understood, or the format of the trip should be such that it is difficult to get sidetracked by boring shit (e.g., your example of not having...
by ZAFCorrection
Sun Oct 11, 2020 3:33 pm
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Familial assistance
Replies: 35
Views: 2548

Re: Familial assistance

My folks, being gainfully employed their whole lives, are mid-to-late 60s and without savings. They also have nothing to show for a ~500k inheritance and gave me shit when I was a kid for having an opinion about their spending habits. So my attitude is only two generations' worth of wealth is going ...
by ZAFCorrection
Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:05 pm
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Is programming still a valuable skill to learn?
Replies: 31
Views: 2401

Re: Is programming still a valuable skill to learn?

The problem is the output file in people's preferred format then becomes The Data, and if you need to redo anything that you did at the beginning, it can become incredibly tedious integrating it with whatever was subsequently done in The Data.
by ZAFCorrection
Fri Oct 09, 2020 1:39 pm
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Is programming still a valuable skill to learn?
Replies: 31
Views: 2401

Re: Is programming still a valuable skill to learn?

A little OT, but in my experience being good at programming is of limited usefulness as an auxiliary skill in engineering. Since so many people don't know programming, the workflow everywhere seems to involve bits of gui software. If you know python and want to run data analysis that way, you're pro...
by ZAFCorrection
Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:50 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: An American Millennial
Replies: 384
Views: 92015

Re: An American Millennial

I don't know an entirely representative sample, but I would make a distinction between the #wanderlust crowd and people who have some specific thing they want to do in a specific country. The former group seems to have a much higher probability of being maladjusted.
by ZAFCorrection
Sat Oct 03, 2020 2:49 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: When does it make sense to get insurance?
Replies: 33
Views: 1431

Re: When does it make sense to get insurance?

Another aspect that may be worth considering is one's personal valuation of risk. At any given point we have a baseline probability of death and dismemberment associated with being alive, our standard activities, and our health parameters. The guy who really can't tolerate any risk is the neurotic w...
by ZAFCorrection
Sat Oct 03, 2020 11:39 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: When does it make sense to get insurance?
Replies: 33
Views: 1431

Re: When does it make sense to get insurance?

Maybe this is already implied and I am just not seeing it in the OP, but your expectation values are all integral(x*p(x)). So think about what your distribution is when throwing out numbers. Your later reference to Taleb makes me think you might already be thinking along those lines. As for the numb...
by ZAFCorrection
Thu Oct 01, 2020 10:18 pm
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Are job perks underrated?
Replies: 52
Views: 12369

Re: Are job perks underrated?

Since I am an "essential worker," my company covers pretty much any meal I want to eat onsite. I think officially there is some limit but no one enforces it. Incidentally, the concept of essential workers is kinda funny in how inclusive it ends up being. I'm pretty sure no one thinks high-...
by ZAFCorrection
Fri Sep 25, 2020 11:59 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Only Rice and Beans Response from friend on Spending Goal
Replies: 32
Views: 2128

Re: Only Rice and Beans Response from friend on Spending Goal

This person is probably an outlier in terms of lack of financial awareness. Or they just weren't clear that you aren't paying much in housing costs. In grad school my wife and I spent like $2000 a month and $1250 was rent. We were eating tons of chicken and vegetables under those constraints, and ou...
by ZAFCorrection
Fri Sep 25, 2020 12:24 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: ERE Philosophy Limiting Career Motivation?
Replies: 49
Views: 12938

Re: ERE Philosophy Limiting Career Motivation?

I'd say being a sociopath is a requirement for going to the top (elite), but otherwise the three attitude-to-job types are spread out all over the place. For instance, my current boss could probably retire a few times over, has a large amount of cultural capital, and yet they grind it out clueless-s...