Search found 1519 matches

by ertyu
Sun Jan 24, 2021 6:24 am
Forum: ERE Book/Blog/Forum
Topic: Jacob discusses ERE on E-R
Replies: 21
Views: 3169

Re: Jacob discusses ERE on E-R

hahaha hi stahlman
by ertyu
Sat Jan 23, 2021 2:05 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Amateur Recommendations Log (what NOT to buy)
Replies: 30
Views: 1892

Re: Amateur Recommendations Log (what NOT to buy)

TSLA going up I really really want to sell 950c weeklies for earnings; this is your guys' timing signal :lol: sharing so you can inverse me :lol: Starlink on paper is a paradigm-shifting technology that will change the way the USA conducts war. I believe this. There was a video the other day of some...
by ertyu
Sat Jan 23, 2021 4:54 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Singles interacting with couples
Replies: 25
Views: 1032

Re: Singles interacting with couples

Most friendships revolve around particular activities. not necessarily, as a navel-gazey sort of introvert my friendships revolve more around conversations than around activities. E.g. we might go to the coffee shop together or we might go out for beers, but the point isn't the activity of being at...
by ertyu
Sat Jan 23, 2021 4:52 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Singles interacting with couples
Replies: 25
Views: 1032

Re: Singles interacting with couples

Hm I disagree that you can't ask to exclude a friend's partner. You absolutely can. It's fully legit to be better friends with one part of a couple. You should also be prepared that the person does not want to hang out with you solo and deal with it without throwing fits if that's the case. There ar...
by ertyu
Sat Jan 23, 2021 4:44 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Hussman shows a risk of 50-66% [US stock]market losses
Replies: 64
Views: 10104

Re: Hussman shows a risk of 50-66% [US stock]market losses

here is my question: can stocks fall if real yields don't rise
by ertyu
Fri Jan 22, 2021 12:37 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Singles interacting with couples
Replies: 25
Views: 1032

Re: Singles interacting with couples

"Hey, I was wondering if you'd like to catch up over lunch on Tuesday? Great. Hey, this might be a bit awkward to bring up, but can it just be the two of us this Tuesday?" Depending on how you feel about things, you might include a "no homo" disclaimer, ridiculous as these are. s...
by ertyu
Thu Jan 21, 2021 2:23 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: Singles interacting with couples
Replies: 25
Views: 1032

Re: Singles interacting with couples

Sounds right to me, yeah.
by ertyu
Tue Jan 19, 2021 3:23 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion
Replies: 21
Views: 1269

Re: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion

Is bitcoin a long vol asset? I guess it's a call option on the upside tail? It does go to zero on the lower tail as we saw in March; a sell-off in equities triggered a sell-off in btc and only a prayer and the exchanges slamming down voluntary breakers prevented it from actually crashing even furth...
by ertyu
Mon Jan 18, 2021 10:23 am
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: An ERE dating site
Replies: 207
Views: 16600

Re: An ERE dating site

@Crusader: Fair enough. If you're also a scientist or a programmer, attend local meetups for programmers. You can use the dance people for practice. Even if they aren't suitable life partners, they would likely be suitable light conversation partners. You can make sure your social skills stay well-o...
by ertyu
Sun Jan 17, 2021 5:31 am
Forum: Miscellaneous
Topic: What would you do if you had $3,000,000?
Replies: 23
Views: 1068

Re: What would you do if you had $3,000,000?

in retrospect, probably what i would do is go somewhere i can get therapy.
by ertyu
Sat Jan 16, 2021 10:00 am
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: The psychological meaning of diseases/events
Replies: 1
Views: 168

Re: The psychological meaning of diseases/events

You will want to read "when the body says no" by dr gabor mate. there are also interviews/podcasts on youtube.
by ertyu
Sat Jan 16, 2021 8:55 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Amateur Recommendations Log (what NOT to buy)
Replies: 30
Views: 1892

Re: Amateur Recommendations Log (what NOT to buy)

I really want to buy tsla puts. The problem with that, though, is that with tsla, fund flows and options dynamics completely overwhelm any fundamentals when it comes to what the stock does. Also, space x is most certainly working with the military and i have a suspicion that EM is getting away with ...
by ertyu
Sat Jan 16, 2021 8:15 am
Forum: Miscellaneous
Topic: What would you do if you had $3,000,000?
Replies: 23
Views: 1068

Re: What would you do if you had $3,000,000?

I would use 15k to fix up my place and I would put the rest in a passive portfolio. I would probably go to scotland and share a house with my autistic friend who wants to move out but can't afford it. I would enjoy the coast and irn bru, and I would work on my English insults.
by ertyu
Fri Jan 15, 2021 10:05 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion
Replies: 21
Views: 1269

Re: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion

@giskard, luke gromen says you're fine :lol:. He says he's holding miners, gold, btc, and equities.

the problem with this portfolio is the possibility that rates go up, which almost everyone agrees they're unlikely to except in the immediate short term.
by ertyu
Thu Jan 14, 2021 2:28 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion
Replies: 21
Views: 1269

Re: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion

@giskard, as for portfolio construction, chris cole + dragon makes a compelling case, also mike greene + straddles. you sound like a quantitatively solid guy, you could probably diy (some part of) these strategies. obv. tinker with the "bonds" category 'cause i think dragon suggests a quar...
by ertyu
Wed Jan 13, 2021 10:28 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion
Replies: 21
Views: 1269

Re: Inflation, Interest Rates & Financial Represion

deflationary or inflation environment in the near term yes >> to elaborate, in my opinion thinking about "inflationary or deflationary environment" is misguided, even if we were to just focus on the cpi. it is very clear certain categories of goods and services are experiencing strong inf...
by ertyu
Wed Jan 13, 2021 3:13 am
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: A comfortable bed
Replies: 20
Views: 889

Re: A comfortable bed

I am going to check out 2x4 furniture on the tube now. I started out thinking I would make a wood bedframe, but then wimped out and just flashed the plastic to amazon for a metal frame. a metal frame is practically immortal so this isn't necessarily a bad solution especially if you're established i...
by ertyu
Tue Jan 12, 2021 5:59 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: A comfortable bed
Replies: 20
Views: 889

Re: A comfortable bed

Have been considering exactly this, a 2 by 4 bed - there are multiple tutorials on youtube. i always get discouraged by how many tools seem to be required. It almost seems to me like to complete a project like that one must first furnish a workshop. Multiple clamps, multiple drill bits, multiple pla...
by ertyu
Tue Jan 12, 2021 5:47 pm
Forum: Friends & Family Questions
Topic: An ERE dating site
Replies: 207
Views: 16600

Re: An ERE dating site

ha have had the smell thing happen. date was perfect on paper but then just... smelled wrong :lol:. And I can't even point out what it was; it's not like there were clouds of perfume I couldn't stand, just... didn't click. Thought it was just me. Hasn't happened with another person since, which is w...
by ertyu
Mon Jan 11, 2021 2:05 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Portfolio evaluation and correcting for the wealth effect
Replies: 58
Views: 4809

Re: Portfolio evaluation and correcting for the wealth effect

The value of a 60% S&P500 and 40%10Yr Treasury portfolio currently is 0.6*15.81/38.43 + 0.4 * 1.119/3.84 = 36%. ouch i hate this situation. on the one hand, now is a terrible, horrible, bad, no good time to put cash into the market. on the other hand, it keeps going up and up and the amount of ...