Search found 725 matches

by Lucky C
Sat Apr 24, 2021 7:17 am
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Do you maintain a resume?
Replies: 21
Views: 1185

Re: Do you maintain a resume?

In case you need a background check or references, you should keep track of work history with start-end dates to the month, supervisor name and contact info, and education history including enrollment start and end dates accurate to the month. You might think you'll remember all this but after a few...
by Lucky C
Fri Apr 23, 2021 6:02 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Peloton (PTON): short opportunity?
Replies: 23
Views: 1344

Re: Peloton (PTON): short opportunity?

My current "fantasy short" right now is lumber futures but I believe just a single contract right now would represent about $137k, so that one little bet would easily swing $5-10k per day. I am able to trade futures but haven't traded any commodities futures before. Probably a very bad ide...
by Lucky C
Fri Apr 23, 2021 5:53 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Income Robustness Score Log
Replies: 43
Views: 3765

Re: Income Robustness Score Log

^ Agreed. Yes it could fail (but I would already be FI) and yes I would like to buy alternate sources of income in the future. One of my motivations to continue collecting more income than needed is to further diversify in the future. E.g. I don't trust stocks and bonds to deliver good returns in th...
by Lucky C
Fri Apr 23, 2021 5:41 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Peloton (PTON): short opportunity?
Replies: 23
Views: 1344

Re: Peloton (PTON): short opportunity?

PTON about -30%
JOUT up over 40%
Of course I didn't actually try this trade. Shoulda woulda coulda!
by Lucky C
Fri Apr 02, 2021 7:29 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: New technology - that could solve our energy problem?!
Replies: 11
Views: 1317

Re: New technology - that could solve our energy problem?!

I got a geothermal system quote and the drilling cost was not that bad. The sticker shock came from the added costs of replacing the oil system with the new hardware, changes that would be required to ductwork etc., electrical panel upgrade since they use more electricity to pump the fluid than to r...
by Lucky C
Fri Apr 02, 2021 7:18 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Income Robustness Score Log
Replies: 43
Views: 3765

Re: Income Robustness Score Log

Something more useful may be in how well/quickly someone can source new income source if one of theirs were to go poof. A careerist would be always working toward lowering the risk of being out of a career rather than lowering risk by having noncorrelated income sources. I am now able to obtain a w...
by Lucky C
Sat Mar 20, 2021 4:50 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Investments Trade Log
Replies: 2578
Views: 527492

Re: Investments Trade Log

Saw a "lumber is too expensive" meme on the Reddit front page (had previously only seen references to high lumber prices on the woodworking subreddit). Time to short lumber futures? ;)
by Lucky C
Thu Mar 18, 2021 12:37 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Investments Trade Log
Replies: 2578
Views: 527492

Re: Investments Trade Log

My watch says it's 2008 o'clock. I'm gonna plan accordingly. There are tons of charts and stats comparing these past several months to 2000. If today is more like 2000 than 2008 then one difference is you'd be fine holding value stocks and avoiding NASDAQ, whereas in 2008 you'd want to avoid pretty...
by Lucky C
Thu Mar 18, 2021 9:42 am
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?
Replies: 25
Views: 3654

Re: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?

ERE works for the planet if everybody did it, therefore it is the right thing to do. Jacob, Paul Wheaton, etc., should be seen as the highest role models. Maximization of wealth accumulation and then applying it to the benefit of the planet & its people works because only a very small percent wi...
by Lucky C
Thu Mar 18, 2021 8:14 am
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?
Replies: 25
Views: 3654

Re: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?

@ Lemur Yes, both of those apply to me. (a) Lack of socialization due to Covid would get better in a few months, though socialization would be primarily family members in my case. I am at the stage in life when college friends have mostly drifted apart and I don't yet have friends via my kid's frien...
by Lucky C
Wed Mar 17, 2021 12:21 pm
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?
Replies: 25
Views: 3654

Re: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?

And: 9. I have recently realized I am more ISTP than INTP or INTJ. I think in the past taking MBTI tests while working and being in the ERE mindset, I may have biased my answers toward being "free" and independent, as well as toward the plethora of opportunities and broad learning I wanted...
by Lucky C
Tue Mar 16, 2021 10:04 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Investments Trade Log
Replies: 2578
Views: 527492

Re: Investments Trade Log

@LuckyC, would you go into bonds or stay in cash when you reduce equity exposure? Right now aside from equities I have a combo of cash, intermediate US government bonds, gold, silver, and diversified commodities that are heavily influenced by oil prices (via PDBC which allows commodity exposure wit...
by Lucky C
Mon Mar 15, 2021 7:50 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Lending out Crypto or how to generate other income streams?
Replies: 23
Views: 2235

Re: Lending out Crypto or how to generate other income streams?

I am equipped mentally to deal with a 50% drop, which might come in 1-2 months, with the last big run until December before the next few years of sideways start again. But, yeah, plan is to wait for the last upside in this 4 cycle. Sounds like a rock solid plan. Just short Bitcoin for the next 1-2 ...
by Lucky C
Sun Mar 14, 2021 3:45 pm
Forum: Work & Education
Topic: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?
Replies: 25
Views: 3654

Re: Going back to work after you have retired? Any stories from those who have?

I am now thinking of going back to my previous place of employment after nearly two years FIREd. Reasoning in no particular order: 1. While it wasn't a "fun" job, I liked it there well enough. I did well while improving my skills (even achieving Flow sometimes!) and had the respect of supe...
by Lucky C
Sun Mar 14, 2021 2:52 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Investments Trade Log
Replies: 2578
Views: 527492

Re: Investments Trade Log

when interest rates get high enough to cause a significant market correction My view was short term based on news & sentiment of the past few weeks-months, so "significant market correction" was what I was thinking one might want to prepare for, if their allocation is a bit high due t...
by Lucky C
Sun Mar 14, 2021 8:23 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Investments Trade Log
Replies: 2578
Views: 527492

Re: Investments Trade Log

Covid is "ending" (optimism about economic recovery is high). Stimmies this week might bump stocks up a bit more. People will be going back to work more in person where they won't have as much opportunity to day trade. Speculative mania has been falling from very high levels. Divergence in...
by Lucky C
Wed Mar 10, 2021 6:34 pm
Forum: Housing Questions
Topic: Outdoor Cooking/Kitchen
Replies: 12
Views: 1505

Re: Outdoor Cooking/Kitchen

I just eat more cold foods and microwave or pressure cooker meals during heat waves. If a summer day is unusually cold, that's when we do our baking :)
by Lucky C
Wed Mar 10, 2021 6:30 pm
Forum: Housing Questions
Topic: You're Thinking About Home Heating Wrong, Ian Bogost, The Atlantic
Replies: 20
Views: 1746

Re: You're Thinking About Home Heating Wrong, Ian Bogost, The Atlantic

You might be thinking about home heating wrong in a bunch of different ways, depending on your home's particular quirks. In my case, I have forced hot air with an oil burner and didn't have a lot of insulation, but the biggest jump in our efficiency was changing part of our ductwork. A couple years ...
by Lucky C
Fri Mar 05, 2021 6:55 am
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Investments Trade Log
Replies: 2578
Views: 527492

Re: Investments Trade Log

Hasn't that already been extremely priced in? Copper futures are near all time highs, having doubled in price in the past year. Also down 7% in the past week. The metals and agriculture futures that surged in past months before mainstream media inflation talk have now slowed down or rolled over sinc...
by Lucky C
Thu Mar 04, 2021 7:58 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Investments Trade Log
Replies: 2578
Views: 527492

Re: Investments Trade Log

Barrick Gold (GOLD) is back at pre-pandemic prices. In Q4 2020: - Dalio bought GOLD (has traded it several times but is long term bullish on gold / bearish on USD, see his public posts) - Druckenmiller sold GOLD (has traded it several times over the years, trying to get the most out of trends) - Buf...