Search found 1626 matches

by Tyler9000
Fri Mar 27, 2020 4:16 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: Covid-19 & FIRE Replaced by DIRE?
Replies: 4
Views: 503

Re: Covid-19 & FIRE Replaced by DIRE?

This said, I agree with him that many overly optimistic people may be kinda panicking right now. Some of the assumptions in the mainstream FIRE just don't make sense If one good things comes out of it, perhaps the young people feeling stock market pain for the first time will finally come around on...
by Tyler9000
Fri Mar 27, 2020 1:54 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

...I think the states to watch are the ones who do not have a "stay at home" order. Texas is a big state. The major metropolitan areas like Houston, Dallas-Ft.Worth, Austin, and San Antonio have all issued local stay-at-home orders already, while other more remote cities with minimal or no cases ha...
by Tyler9000
Fri Mar 27, 2020 1:25 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

My thinking is that it's prudent to base your personal decisions on a worst case set of numbers right now. ... I fully expect the numbers to not be that bad, but it's just not worth the personal risk to assume things will be fine right now since no one knows. That's a very reasonable approach. And ...
by Tyler9000
Fri Mar 27, 2020 12:17 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: Covid-19 & FIRE Replaced by DIRE?
Replies: 4
Views: 503

Re: Covid-19 & FIRE Replaced by DIRE?

That's just Financial Samurai trolling the FIRE community again. It's been his MO to drive traffic for the past 10+ years and it still works! Yep. Not much I can add to that. He lost me years ago. I've definitely noticed an uptick in anti-FIRE sentiment since the coronavirus epidemic took off. It u...
by Tyler9000
Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:04 am
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

It does not take a math whiz to recognize the huge problem with the math/science in the WSJ/Stanford MDs opinion piece. To be fair, it also does not take a math wiz to recognize the huge problem with the math/science in the Imperial College study that everyone seems to hold as the gold standard. Th...
by Tyler9000
Thu Mar 26, 2020 3:42 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

Hang in there, JP. I admire your perseverance and how you're doing a great job caring for your family.
by Tyler9000
Thu Mar 26, 2020 3:39 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say? Current estimates about the Covid-19 fatality rate may be too high by orders of magnitude. (Dr. Bendavid and Dr. Bhattacharya are professors of medicine at Stanford.) https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-the-coronavirus-as-deadly-as-they-say-11585088464?mod=opini...
by Tyler9000
Thu Mar 26, 2020 3:21 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Portfolio Charts
Replies: 493
Views: 105853

Re: Portfolio Charts

I might be wrong here, but didn't the "usual" correlations sort of break down during the downfall? Gold seem to have recovered now, but at some point gold, bonds and stocks all were going down simultaneously, although at different speeds. In my mind I saw people hoarding ammo, food and toilet paper...
by Tyler9000
Thu Mar 26, 2020 1:01 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

Neil Ferguson, one of the authors of the original Imperial College study that predicted 500k deaths in the UK alone, has now revised his predictions and believes less than 20k people may die. And of those 20k, 2/3rds probably would have died by the end of the year anyway because they were old and si...
by Tyler9000
Wed Mar 25, 2020 6:47 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/25/uk-coronavirus-mass-home-testing-to-be-made-available-within-days Thanks found it in The Guardian. I think this could be the path back to normality for a lot of people. Awesome! That's good to hear. An inexpensive and fast at-home antibody test will be ...
by Tyler9000
Wed Mar 25, 2020 1:13 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

thrifty++ wrote:
Wed Mar 25, 2020 12:57 pm
Is there anyone with positive news stories from countries dealing with things well in combatting the virus?
https://www.positive.news/

https://www.goodnewsnetwork.org/
by Tyler9000
Wed Mar 25, 2020 12:53 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

So far that's a negatory so far. However, tests are still ongoing. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-25/hydroxychloroquine-no-better-than-regular-covid-19-care-in-study Personally I wouldn't lend any more credence to the Chinese study that says it doesn't work than to the French study...
by Tyler9000
Tue Mar 24, 2020 10:44 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

The new coronavirus may already have infected far more people in the UK than scientists had previously estimated — perhaps as much as half the population — according to modelling by researchers at the University of Oxford. If the results are confirmed, they imply that fewer than one in a thousand o...
by Tyler9000
Tue Mar 24, 2020 10:35 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

Honesty time: Trump can't open the economy by Easter because Trump didn't shut it down. Fact is, apart from closing borders to a handful of countries, Trump hasn't shut anything down. State governors, county commissioners, and mayors are the ones in the driving seat right now when it comes to the e...
by Tyler9000
Sun Mar 22, 2020 5:03 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Long term macro effect of ncovid
Replies: 25
Views: 2805

Re: Long term macro effect of ncovid

I do expect China to gain worldwide influence due to their rapid medical response and the way the US has utterly dropped the ball. I don't. Short term, a few countries may thank China for the masks. Long term, the same countries will wonder why they had to depend on China for medical supplies. The ...
by Tyler9000
Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:14 pm
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

Smart propaganda, which will probably have long lasting effects. Key word - propaganda. Keep in mind this is the same country that actively suppressed news of the virus for months, lied to the WHO about its transmissibility, arrested the doctor who originally reported it publicly before leaving him...
by Tyler9000
Sun Mar 22, 2020 10:25 am
Forum: Health Questions
Topic: COVID-19
Replies: 1548
Views: 107179

Re: COVID-19

The simplest explanation is different testing strategies/capabilities between different countries(*). This screws with the denominator.... The CFR being bantered around is just dead/(tested positive) Good point. And supporting that, here's some interesting data about how Italy's numbers may be infl...
by Tyler9000
Fri Mar 20, 2020 9:04 pm
Forum: Lifestyle Questions
Topic: Anyone prepping for corona?
Replies: 202
Views: 18664

Re: Anyone prepping for corona?

I was stunned to tune in Bloomberg News today and hear Trump putting his hopes on Chloroquine. I’m hoping this can make a difference. From what I've read, things do look promising on that front. Of course we won't know for sure until more studies are done, but I wager we'll get a good feel for it w...
by Tyler9000
Fri Mar 13, 2020 12:42 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Stock Market Blood Bath
Replies: 77
Views: 7273

Re: Stock Market Blood Bath

Before today's action, it looks like I'm down roughly 10% from Jan 31st, down 8% YTD, and up 1% from this time last year. In other news, this thread makes me want to write an article about how anchoring affects how we think about investing. ;)
by Tyler9000
Thu Mar 12, 2020 2:29 pm
Forum: Money Questions
Topic: Portfolio Charts
Replies: 493
Views: 105853

Re: Portfolio Charts

Yeah, it's interesting how rarely you really need to trade to stick to a well-diversified asset allocation. Big moves in one direction are often preceded or followed by big moves in the opposite direction, so the market often takes care of imbalances for you. When in doubt, just chill and come back ...