Early Retirement Extreme Forums

@chenda - Yeah, it's not the most obvious way to present it.

It tracks 4 different kinds of impacts: economic, society, nature, and climate (E, S, N, and C). It ranks each of these on a scale from limited impacts, severe impacts, decimation, catastrophic, and extreme. You can translate these into ...

Spending/adult in the household reveals a lot about how far along someone has gotten on their ERE journey. Since situations may vary individually, it's more useful to compare spending over time. For example, eremites going from spending $60k/year to spending $10k/year as they progress up the WLs ...

I don't understand Plan A. Typically, mortgages rates are higher than standard LT bond rates and if you're taking on a mortgage in order to leave more money for stocks, you're essentially leveraging (taking a margin loan with security in your home). It's a risky idea that might pay off but this is ...

Season 2: Week 8 (DW)

8 items of clothing

Does this require a belief in the Everettian, many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics?


No, this is standard probability101 stuff (specifically, considerations between the sample-size and the population-space). It's just asking about P(this particular universe | this particular universe ...

If you're planning ahead for decades, you also need to look at the degree to which the place is adapted or adaptable to change. For example, if the area is dependent on tourism (like the Mediterranean or the snow-free ski slopes of the Alps), will it be able to do something else when tourists no ...

For all possible kinds of universes, only some universes will allow for observers to come into existence. Such observers will only be able to observe the parameters that allow their particular kind of existence.

It's a form of survivor bias.
https://mcdreeamiemusings.com/blog/2019/4/1/survivorship ...

You can combine the hardiness maps with this: https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/

This is where we differ. It still seems to me that something caused those spins to be how they are, ...


No. That's the whole beauty of this argument. There's no need for an original cause for the sequence 0, 1, 2, 3, ... like, nothing causes the next number after 1 to be 2, nothing causes the ...

I run a pretty old computer park (average age 12 years).

Now that ERE HQ room temperature stays around 85F (29C), especially my Intel Nuc has taken to putting the CPU fan into overdrive from time to time. I have never messed around with replacing the thermal paste before. According to the internet ...

Season 2: Week 7 (jacob)

1 graphics card
2 memory sticks
4 books

- Several blog posts about whether the universe is "fine tuned" or not. Is it true that it's totally improbable that we live in a world with physics perfectly suited for our flourishing? I don't grok the math at all, but I like readying really smart people as they go back and forth on this. This ...

In my [brain] case, spoons are more specialized. There are creative spoons, social spoons, physical labor spoons, management spoons, etc. Burnout for me only happens if one set of spoons is overused in an uninspired way. However, I can often alleviate [this burnout] by using another set of spoons. E ...

What always makes me curious is that no one solved the self-driving train problem yet (apart from trivial cases).


Do you mean a big train or a light train ?

My wild guess is that driving the train is easy and that the reason for the existence of the engineer is to handle exceptions with big ...

This weekend I fixed the following things:

Broken handle on Italian coffee pot.

Solutions:
1) Buy a new one: $30
2) Use a dish towel to hold it: $0
3) Replace the handle: $9

Skills required for (3):
The ability to precision drill a 2mm hole in awkward plastic and tap out and replace the current ...

@ertyu - Yes, that ... one-way is doable. Back and forth is tedious (fixing the same mistakes over and over and eventually just letting them be). When I collaborate on docs, the draft might be written on another system (like my Neo2), but as soon as more people get involved to make the final edit ...

So .. homework for @benrickert:

1) Click on this link: https://docs.google.com/document/u/0/
2) Click + to make a new document and write a bunch of stuff.
3) Figure out how to export this document to Word format and bring it over to "the other people"'s computer, e.g. mail it or use a USB stick.
4 ...

@benrickert - You can click on the links above (e.g. google docs) and make some documents and spreadsheets and see how easy it is to transfer back and forth without having to buy anything. The chromebook is just a convenient terminal but any computer (browser) can do it.

In general, though, import ...

To bring the discussion back on topic, what I was interested in was the likelihood that going forward, PE ratios will truly decline because a meaningful income distribution from capital to labor is expected.


For that reason, it's pretty much zero. It sounds good but it doesn't math out in terms ...

No politics reminder: viewtopic.php?p=301175#p301175