Search found 17166 matches

by jacob
Sat Jul 05, 2025 10:49 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Smashter's Great Adventure
Replies: 149
Views: 42993

Re: Smashter's Great Adventure


Does this require a belief in the Everettian, many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics?


No, this is standard probability101 stuff (specifically, considerations between the sample-size and the population-space). It's just asking about P(this particular universe | this particular universe ...
by jacob
Sat Jul 05, 2025 6:58 am
Forum: Housing and Transportation Questions
Topic: What are the best climates to live in, according to the Köppen classification?
Replies: 11
Views: 494

Re: What are the best climates to live in, according to the Köppen classification?

If you're planning ahead for decades, you also need to look at the degree to which the place is adapted or adaptable to change. For example, if the area is dependent on tourism (like the Mediterranean or the snow-free ski slopes of the Alps), will it be able to do something else when tourists no ...
by jacob
Fri Jul 04, 2025 5:01 pm
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Smashter's Great Adventure
Replies: 149
Views: 42993

Re: Smashter's Great Adventure

For all possible kinds of universes, only some universes will allow for observers to come into existence. Such observers will only be able to observe the parameters that allow their particular kind of existence.

It's a form of survivor bias.
https://mcdreeamiemusings.com/blog/2019/4/1/survivorship ...
by jacob
Thu Jul 03, 2025 3:55 pm
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Smashter's Great Adventure
Replies: 149
Views: 42993

Re: Smashter's Great Adventure


This is where we differ. It still seems to me that something caused those spins to be how they are, ...


No. That's the whole beauty of this argument. There's no need for an original cause for the sequence 0, 1, 2, 3, ... like, nothing causes the next number after 1 to be 2, nothing causes the ...
by jacob
Thu Jul 03, 2025 9:19 am
Forum: Technical Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Replacing the thermal paste on CPUs (and GPUs)?
Replies: 4
Views: 229

Replacing the thermal paste on CPUs (and GPUs)?

I run a pretty old computer park (average age 12 years).

Now that ERE HQ room temperature stays around 85F (29C), especially my Intel Nuc has taken to putting the CPU fan into overdrive from time to time. I have never messed around with replacing the thermal paste before. According to the internet ...
by jacob
Wed Jul 02, 2025 8:34 am
Forum: ERE Community
Topic: Forum challenge: Lets play the minimalists' game
Replies: 175
Views: 17851

Re: Forum challenge: Lets play the minimalists' game

Season 2: Week 7 (jacob)

1 graphics card
2 memory sticks
4 books
by jacob
Tue Jul 01, 2025 11:49 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Smashter's Great Adventure
Replies: 149
Views: 42993

Re: Smashter's Great Adventure


- Several blog posts about whether the universe is "fine tuned" or not. Is it true that it's totally improbable that we live in a world with physics perfectly suited for our flourishing? I don't grok the math at all, but I like readying really smart people as they go back and forth on this. This ...
by jacob
Tue Jul 01, 2025 6:47 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: AE's Adventures in Accidental FIRE
Replies: 139
Views: 13253

Re: AE's Adventures in Accidental FIRE

In my [brain] case, spoons are more specialized. There are creative spoons, social spoons, physical labor spoons, management spoons, etc. Burnout for me only happens if one set of spoons is overused in an uninspired way. However, I can often alleviate [this burnout] by using another set of spoons. E ...
by jacob
Mon Jun 30, 2025 2:41 pm
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: TSLA: Scenerios and Ranges
Replies: 11
Views: 2317

Re: TSLA: Scenerios and Ranges


What always makes me curious is that no one solved the self-driving train problem yet (apart from trivial cases).


Do you mean a big train or a light train ?

My wild guess is that driving the train is easy and that the reason for the existence of the engineer is to handle exceptions with big ...
by jacob
Mon Jun 30, 2025 11:27 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Yields and Flows - Level 5 towards 6
Replies: 110
Views: 78931

Re: Yields and Flows - Level 5 towards 6

This weekend I fixed the following things:

Broken handle on Italian coffee pot.

Solutions:
1) Buy a new one: $30
2) Use a dish towel to hold it: $0
3) Replace the handle: $9

Skills required for (3):
The ability to precision drill a 2mm hole in awkward plastic and tap out and replace the current ...
by jacob
Mon Jun 30, 2025 8:20 am
Forum: Technical Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Buying a computer - ERE style
Replies: 13
Views: 827

Re: Buying a computer - ERE style

@ertyu - Yes, that ... one-way is doable. Back and forth is tedious (fixing the same mistakes over and over and eventually just letting them be). When I collaborate on docs, the draft might be written on another system (like my Neo2), but as soon as more people get involved to make the final edit ...
by jacob
Mon Jun 30, 2025 7:52 am
Forum: Technical Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Buying a computer - ERE style
Replies: 13
Views: 827

Re: Buying a computer - ERE style

So .. homework for @benrickert:

1) Click on this link: https://docs.google.com/document/u/0/
2) Click + to make a new document and write a bunch of stuff.
3) Figure out how to export this document to Word format and bring it over to "the other people"'s computer, e.g. mail it or use a USB stick.
4 ...
by jacob
Mon Jun 30, 2025 7:06 am
Forum: Technical Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Buying a computer - ERE style
Replies: 13
Views: 827

Re: Buying a computer - ERE style

@benrickert - You can click on the links above (e.g. google docs) and make some documents and spreadsheets and see how easy it is to transfer back and forth without having to buy anything. The chromebook is just a convenient terminal but any computer (browser) can do it.

In general, though, import ...
by jacob
Sun Jun 29, 2025 9:29 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: The continued viability of the 4% rule in the US in the 21st century
Replies: 266
Views: 56864

Re: The continued viability of the 4% rule in the US in the 21st century


To bring the discussion back on topic, what I was interested in was the likelihood that going forward, PE ratios will truly decline because a meaningful income distribution from capital to labor is expected.


For that reason, it's pretty much zero. It sounds good but it doesn't math out in terms ...
by jacob
Sun Jun 29, 2025 7:17 am
Forum: Inspiration
Topic: Reasons for ERE (or even ER)
Replies: 27
Views: 4589

Re:

I think I'm the only OG left in this thread. Still this ...


Because the world is strained by consumerism, a nonsustainable dependence on finite resources, and a credit based monetary system that needs to grow to avoid massive defaults [There's your problem in a nutshell].
Because it provides ...
by jacob
Sun Jun 29, 2025 6:27 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Funky Freedom's Journal
Replies: 88
Views: 7543

Re: Funky Freedom's Journal


Would like to learn more about holding TIPS (inflation protected treasuries) in my 401k and/or precious metals as alternative stores of wealth/ sources of portfolio diversification instead of the bond market.


Typical strategies for this are https://www.amazon.com/Risk-Less-Prosper-Guide ...
by jacob
Sat Jun 28, 2025 8:20 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: AE's Adventures in Accidental FIRE
Replies: 139
Views: 13253

Re: AE's Adventures in Accidental FIRE

I recognize that the availability of "spoons" may be a limit when concentrating full time on a job, but I think you guys could benefit from reading this thread: https://forum.earlyretirementextreme.com/viewtopic.php?t=10897 If nothing else then just to see the alternative to the "sacrifice ...
by jacob
Sat Jun 28, 2025 6:37 am
Forum: Technical Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Buying a computer - ERE style
Replies: 13
Views: 827

Re: Buying a computer - ERE style

In my opinion "not a computer persons" who are otherwise comfortable with a smartphone (especially android) and spend most of their computer time in a browser anyway should get a chromebook. The reason is that there's not much to learn and not much (anything) that can break. Once the hardware dies ...