It is currently Fri Oct 24, 2014 11:06 am


All times are UTC - 5 hours




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 12 posts ] 
Author Message
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 1:18 am 
Site Admin

Joined: Fri Jun 28, 2013 8:38 pm
Posts: 5144
Location: Chicago, IL

http://www.pimco.com/EN/insights/pages/the-great-escape-april-2012.aspx


"Financial assets relative to real assets outperform in such a world as wealth is brought forward and stolen from future years if real growth cannot replicate historical total returns."


Also see in "plain speak"... all this is consistent with the next Kondratieff cycle. It is still not entirely clear to me what the next technology innovation/driver is going to be. Internet? Nano? Bio?... or something more fundamental, like food, water, and clean air?




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 2:17 am 
User avatar

Joined: Wed Nov 23, 2011 12:42 am
Posts: 1719

Personalization is my guess for the next big driver.


Today you can walk into the Harvard Bookstore and print out any one of five million books instantaneously. It won't be long before we can walk into REI and get a body-scan then a custom-made rain jacket instantaneously - or - go to a health-food store where they do a blood test and concoct a custom vitamin pill -or- go to the doctor where they inject personalized nanobots designed to reproduce then rebuild cartilage or remove plaque buildup -or- go to the


In a sense, this is a continuation of what we are already seeing. From a marketing perspective, the beauty of personalization is that people change. When they have something custom-made they feel the need for a new suit when it no longer fits perfectly or a new vitamin when they no longer have the underlying condition that caused them to get the old one. Fewer customers with more wealth demand that companies create new ways to entice obsolescence.




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 3:46 am 
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2011 2:07 am
Posts: 589

The big, revolutionary changes are always unpredictable.




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 3:50 am 
Site Admin

Joined: Fri Jun 28, 2013 8:38 pm
Posts: 5144
Location: Chicago, IL

On the other hand, revolutionary changes have been in the pipeline for some 20 or more years before they become big/commercialized. So what's cooking?




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 4:01 am 
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2011 2:07 am
Posts: 589

Plastics? :-)




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 4:55 am 
Site Admin

Joined: Fri Jun 28, 2013 8:38 pm
Posts: 5144
Location: Chicago, IL

Interwebs?




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 5:21 am 

Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 4:45 am
Posts: 775

Cyberpunk technologies are getting pretty close. "Cyberspace" is old news but synthetic organs, combat droids, battling corporate AIs, and humanoid robots are here or around the corner. Cyborgs are practically here piecemeal in the form of Bluetooth, ECV scooters, smartphones, and/or Google Goggles. If the fiction is right, these developments will coincide with a plutocratic aristocracy using untouchable mega-corporations to rule over a vast depraved underbelly.




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 7:04 am 

Joined: Mon Dec 26, 2011 11:18 pm
Posts: 47

Internet, computing, and their applications in other fields. Even though it's already been predicted, its economic value is enormous and growing. I imagine it's like going back and being able to invest in railroads in 1875, or oil in 1940. We know it's here to stay, and the whole sector is still in its infancy. Other innovations of this magnitude have spawned industries that have remained profitable for hundreds of years. How to play it? Well to each their own on that. My strategy is to keep betting on the known winners and watch for new winners as they emerge.




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue May 01, 2012 1:11 pm 

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 4:30 am
Posts: 33

I'm really hoping that the next big thing is (finally) Space. I know we've all been waiting for the Space Age since the 1960s, but between SpaceX's mission to the ISS later this month ( http://www.space.com/15361-spacex-dragon-mars-settlement.html ) and Planetary Resources announcement of a plan to mine asteroids ( http://www.thespacereview.com/article/2074/1 ), maybe it's finally time. I'm trying not to get my hopes up, but man do I want it to happen!




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed May 02, 2012 1:28 am 
User avatar

Joined: Wed Nov 23, 2011 12:42 am
Posts: 1719

On my run this morning I remembered the hypernet....


http://rogerandmike.com/




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed May 02, 2012 1:33 am 
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 31, 2011 2:07 am
Posts: 589

The return of steamships?


"Australian mogul plans Titanic II"


Okay, II is going to be diesel powered. We live in interesting times.




Top
Offline Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun May 06, 2012 5:10 am 

Joined: Sat Apr 28, 2012 7:18 pm
Posts: 6

I think the next big things will be in the field of bioengineering. They are on the cusp of some revolutionary understanding from which innovation will hopefully follow.


But the future is only brighter if humanity believes it will be so, and the Kondratieff cycle suggests that the next stage will not be so serene. Our "next big thing" today is biased by our largely stable environment and uni-polar political world. When that starts to change, we might have more than a technological revolution in the developed world.




Top
Offline Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 12 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 5 hours


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: pooablo and 1 guest


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
© 2010-2014 Early Retirement Extreme Forums. All Rights Reserved.
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
Theme created StylerBB.net