Search found 755 matches

by Lucky C
Tue Dec 26, 2023 2:00 pm
Forum: ERE Community
Topic: Greenhouse in the Snow - Giveaway
Replies: 0
Views: 1636

Greenhouse in the Snow - Giveaway

Several years ago I watched a video on the "Greenhouse in the Snow" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZD_3_gsgsnk I found it fascinating and bought an informational package with the creator's descriptions of the design and some CD-Rs with more material, but I ended up never attempting any gr...
by Lucky C
Sun Feb 26, 2023 1:28 pm
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Assets Historical Returns from 1802
Replies: 9
Views: 1600

Re: Assets Historical Returns from 1802

6.7% Real for US stocks only from soon after the American Revolution until through QE and and everything in between. In other words, a very special case. The greatest empire in history when the planet had vast stores of resources for the taking via cheap labor. To get close to 6.7% real in the 21st ...
by Lucky C
Sun Apr 10, 2022 11:05 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Avoiding a Bear market
Replies: 34
Views: 5186

Re: Avoiding a Bear market

I have already developed my own trading systems and am beyond the need to research how others develop theirs. I have been financially independent for several years and have more experience than you in the drawdown mitigation game. I could give you a lot of advice about what should work with your cho...
by Lucky C
Sun Apr 10, 2022 8:33 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Avoiding a Bear market
Replies: 34
Views: 5186

Re: Avoiding a Bear market

[advice removed]
by Lucky C
Sun Mar 27, 2022 8:33 am
Forum: Resources & Recommended Reading
Topic: Retirement the Margaritaville Way
Replies: 2
Views: 626

Retirement the Margaritaville Way

I found this article interesting even though living there is not at all appealing to me. https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/03/28/retirement-the-margaritaville-way Though Margaritaville is probably very different than what most of us envision for FIRE, it sounds like a success from a community ...
by Lucky C
Wed Mar 16, 2022 10:44 am
Forum: Housing and Transportation Questions
Topic: Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price
Replies: 12
Views: 2175

Re: Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price

I have found that there is a strong correlation between the change in housing inventory over the past year and the change in home values over the next year. However this is with curve fitting just five years of data so take it with a grain of salt. If the relationship continues, this implies: - The ...
by Lucky C
Mon Mar 14, 2022 5:33 pm
Forum: Housing and Transportation Questions
Topic: Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price
Replies: 12
Views: 2175

Re: Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price

Yeah Western Red Cedar that looks great! Thanks Ego, I am not familiar with all the iBuyers out there. I'm skeptical because I made a lot of improvements and there are some nice quirks to the house, so I would think in person showings the old fashioned way would get me the best price even with the h...
by Lucky C
Mon Mar 14, 2022 10:48 am
Forum: Housing and Transportation Questions
Topic: Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price
Replies: 12
Views: 2175

Re: Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price

Thanks, great tips. I'm contemplating selling at these high prices and going back to renting but I'm on the fence at this point. If I had high confidence that double digit home price increases will continue for another several years then that would make me lean toward holding on for a while. Looking...
by Lucky C
Mon Mar 14, 2022 8:20 am
Forum: Housing and Transportation Questions
Topic: Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price
Replies: 12
Views: 2175

Housing market analysis & maximizing sale price

Who out there provides the most rational and in depth analysis of the US housing market, with free commentary published on a regular basis? I have some doctorhousingbubble.com articles to catch up on, but that site is pretty much Zero Hedge type "the system is broken" negative rhetoric wit...
by Lucky C
Sun Sep 26, 2021 9:18 am
Forum: Emergent Renaissance Ecology
Topic: Contagious sustainability via corporate retention strategies
Replies: 16
Views: 2177

Re: Contagious sustainability via corporate retention strategies

Thanks for the good historical examples of profitable communes. These are interesting! So why didn't they spread? Religion is a common theme, so they are limited mostly by reproduction rates. The non-religious groups are still fringe eco/crypto/etc. so they don't attract the normies. Their businesse...
by Lucky C
Wed Sep 22, 2021 7:07 pm
Forum: Emergent Renaissance Ecology
Topic: Contagious sustainability via corporate retention strategies
Replies: 16
Views: 2177

Re: Contagious sustainability via corporate retention strategies

I think you've reinvented grad school? Maybe, except for everyday goods and services, leaving the research and "progress" to be handled by other "traditional" organizations. By "wide variety" I don't mean like what is offered by Kraft or Nestle and their various brands...
by Lucky C
Sun Sep 19, 2021 12:39 pm
Forum: Emergent Renaissance Ecology
Topic: Contagious sustainability via corporate retention strategies
Replies: 16
Views: 2177

Contagious sustainability via corporate retention strategies

FIRE is contagious to individuals with the right combination of personality plus income potential, due to the radical improvement in lifestyle that is possible while still working within the established systems of our society and without any real pushback from those in power. But to get a whole sust...
by Lucky C
Mon Sep 06, 2021 6:02 pm
Forum: Emergent Renaissance Ecology
Topic: Resolving the Meta-Crisis With Emergent Movements and Post-Consumerist Praxis
Replies: 66
Views: 27893

Re: Resolving the Meta-Crisis With Emergent Movements and Post-Consumerist Praxis

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0MGQgQZHx1Q Thank you for this, Jacob. Do you have other emergent movement examples like you give at the 1 hour mark which might be failures we can learn from? They seem to check all the boxes, yet have some flaws on closer examination, or for some reason just never ...
by Lucky C
Tue Aug 31, 2021 4:47 pm
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Nomadic-ERE Year 5 - Wanderlust Prevails
Replies: 1176
Views: 275477

Re: Semi-ERE Year 3 - Wanderlust Prevails

Thank you 2B1S and anesde! After further research it seems like the Porto area is more ideal on paper for the combo of lower COL, purportedly being more laid back, and for climate. Looking at the Porto historical climate and then adding a few degrees C for climate change, it is the best climate I've...
by Lucky C
Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:29 am
Forum: ERE Journals
Topic: Nomadic-ERE Year 5 - Wanderlust Prevails
Replies: 1176
Views: 275477

Re: Semi-ERE Year 3 - Wanderlust Prevails

just about anywhere outside of Lisbon in Portugal are very affordable. Hi 2Birds1Stone, I have been doing something half way between daydream and serious lifestyle design and currently (based on casual research over the past couple weeks) Lisbon seems very appealing to me. Looks like you've spent 3...
by Lucky C
Sun Aug 08, 2021 5:35 pm
Forum: Technical Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Foraging Log
Replies: 93
Views: 24676

Re: Foraging Log

I also tried some wild sasparilla berries a couple weeks ago. Those are tricky because the young plants have three leaves and you'd think they might be poison ivy, and the berries seem to be few and far between (I think they spread through roots more often). The berries aren't sweet but have a rich ...
by Lucky C
Sun Aug 08, 2021 5:25 pm
Forum: Technical Skills & Tools Questions
Topic: Foraging Log
Replies: 93
Views: 24676

Re: Foraging Log

Black cherry, prunus serotina, is not a wild edible I've heard about until I identified it thanks to a handy plant ID app. You wouldn't think it's a cherry tree looking at it because the fruit is small and in large groups like berry plants, but the tree can get to be 30+ feet tall. The fruits are ha...
by Lucky C
Wed Jun 09, 2021 5:28 pm
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Alternate Investing/Trading Styles
Replies: 37
Views: 6569

Re: Alternate Investing/Trading Styles

Yes, I was also thinking of the Dragon Portfolio. To again relate to what I had in mind... Seems to me like the Dragon Portfolio equities portion would benefit from diversifying outside of US only (and the diversification would be appealing to the average investor), and tactically switching between ...
by Lucky C
Wed Jun 09, 2021 11:02 am
Forum: Money and Investment Questions
Topic: Alternate Investing/Trading Styles
Replies: 37
Views: 6569

Re: Alternate Investing/Trading Styles

How about this for a portfolio of strategies / an alternative to the permanent portfolio: 25% passive holding of equities (both domestic and international to avoid home country bias and too much faith in one's own currency). Limit risk of active strategies (which usually do not beat the market) and ...
by Lucky C
Mon Jun 07, 2021 6:13 am
Forum: Politics, and other eternal disagreements
Topic: UAPs .. This changes everything?
Replies: 23
Views: 9111

Re: UAPs .. This changes everything?

engineered solution involving signal processing And an optical illusion fooling the naked eye in the same way at the same time? Just seems super unlikely that something could spoof electronic sensors and our eyes in the same way at the same time. It would be like if a magician made his assistant in...